council-book
PAPER · NO BROKER

The book / Commodity

OIL Crude oil

Commodity24/5vehicle: CFD (preferred)

Position

Weight · target
0.0%
of the portfolio
Reference
0.0%
what the rules alone would hold
Position
not held
no position

Outside the reference book · overlay sleeve. The council may move it away from the reference, inside a range code sets from its trend.

Weight across runs

0% in the only run: reference, council.

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RunReferenceCouncilExecuted bookOutcome
25 Sep 2026, 14:40 UTC0.0%0.0%—NOT TRADED

Trend

Outside the reference book: its reference size is always 0. Its trend only sets the council's allowed range. Oldest run first; runs in the same state are merged.

  1. 25 Sep 14:40 UTCup size 0.00allowed 0.00 to 0.50Overlay trend up

What the agents said about OIL

Every claim, answer, concession, card and decision that names this line or cites one of its facts, newest run first. Under each claim, what happened to it. Each opens its place in the run.

25 Sep 2026, 14:40 UTC REHEARSAL NOT TRADED 2 items

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  • Bear claim c6

    OIL overlay is +35.7% over SMA200 but mom10d -3.3% and ret1d +0.96 sigma: a stretched, decelerating line, not an add.

    Crude oilvs 200-day averageCrude oil10-day changeCrude oillast day's move vs normal

    • set aside Manager, attempt 1 (used): OIL is stretched and decelerating, but 18 bps/side plus 0.96 bps/day carry does not clear the gate; 0.0 stands.
    • set aside Manager, attempt 2: OIL is untradeable anyway: 18 bps/side plus 0.96 bps/day carry cannot clear the cost gate.
    • set aside Manager, attempt 3: OIL is an overlay at ref 0.0; 18 bps/side plus 0.96 bps/day carry does not clear the gate, so no add.
  • Bull · rebuttal claim c4

    OIL is stretched but untradeable: 18 bps/side plus 0.96 bps/day carry against a 0.2-sigma gate, and mom10d -3.3% is decelerating, so 0.0 is correct.

    Crude oilcost per sideCrude oilovernight costCrude oil10-day changeCrude oilvs 200-day average

Trades

No order on this line in a published run.

Latest facts

This run's format published fact ids only, without a facts table; the agents' citations are listed above.