The book / Crypto
ETH Ether
Position
- Weight · target
- 5.0%
- of the portfolio
- Reference
- 5.0%
- what the rules alone would hold
- Position
- Long
- long: it gains when the price rises
In the mechanical reference book · crypto sleeve. The council may not move it: it always follows the reference.
Weight across runs
Reference 5.0%Council 5.0%Executed book none (rehearsal: nothing traded)
One published run so far; the chart appears from the second run.
Show as table
| Run | Reference | Council | Executed book | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026, 14:40 UTC | 5.0% | 5.0% | — | NOT TRADED |
Trend
The reference book holds the weight the rules alone would hold: a fixed base weight per line, scaled by its trend (up = full, mixed = ¾, down = ¼) and trimmed when the line is unusually volatile. The council's allowed range around it comes from the same trend. Oldest run first; runs in the same state are merged.
What the agents said about ETH
Every claim, answer, concession, card and decision that names this line or cites one of its facts, newest run first. Under each claim, what happened to it. Each opens its place in the run.
25 Sep 2026, 14:40 UTC REHEARSAL NOT TRADED 3 items
-
Bull · opening claim c5
Crypto is reference-only and already at 1.0: BTC +12.6% over SMA50, ETH +14.8%, both uptrends, no deviation possible or needed.
BitcointrendBitcoinvs 50-day averageEthertrendEthervs 50-day average
- concedes Bear: Crypto is reference-only and already at 1.0; no deviation possible.
-
Bear claim c5
Crypto is reference-only and pays 110 bps/side; BTC dd52 -32.3% and ETH dd52 -42.6% show the tail risk is real but untradeable here.
Bitcoincost per sideBitcoindrop from 1-year highEtherdrop from 1-year high
- concedes Bull (rebuttal): crypto is reference-only and pays 110 bps/side, so no deviation is possible regardless of view.
-
Bull · rebuttal claim c5
Crypto is reference-only at 1.0; BTC dd52 -32.3% and ETH dd52 -42.6% are real tails but 110 bps/side makes any deviation impossible.
Bitcoincost per sideBitcoindrop from 1-year highEtherdrop from 1-year highBitcointrendEthertrend
Trades
No order on this line in a published run.
Latest facts
This run's format published fact ids only, without a facts table; the agents' citations are listed above.