PAPER Decisions / #1 · 1 Oct 2026, 14:40 UTC

Decision #1: no swing trade

A paper run: real data and the real agents, nothing traded, no approval. Published at once through the same public pipeline as a live run (allow-listed fields, licensed news by id only, percent-only). VERIFIED the file re-hashes to its commitment.

No trade

Closest to trading: NVCR long — stopped at Rules (too little trading volume), after the manager voted 3 of 3 to enter.

Core: Built: NDX 35.0% · SEMIS 15.0% · SPX 15.0% · BTC 13.0% · ETH 5.0% · GOLD 3.0%
Swing budget: 20% swing / 80% core, set by the council (3 valid votes). Idle swing money is invested in the core.

Sizes are shares of the paper portfolio; swing results are after a declared cost of 1.25% per leg, never the actual one.

Every idea's journey

Each idea the Scout pitched, furthest first, through the six steps: Scout → code gate → Skeptic (blind to the pitch, deepseek model family) → bull and bear → manager (two of three attempts must enter) → swing rules. ✓ passed · ✗ stopped here · — not reached. Open a step for what that agent said.

NVCR long news continuation

Stopped at Rules: too little trading volume. S8:illiquid idea:3 if bought: −3.4% net (open)

Scout pitched : passed
Gate passed : passed
Skeptic pass : passed
Debate argued : passed
PM 3/3 : passed
Rules S8 : stopped here too little trading volume

Scout the pitch, the catalyst and the levels

Claim Japan's MHLW approved Optune Pax for unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer

Thesis · why it is not priced in yet A new-country regulatory approval for a pancreatic cancer indication widens the addressable market for a company whose revenue is driven by indication-by-indication approvals. The 8-K is hours old and the name is not screened, so the market's read is unclear. Approval-driven launches play out over quarters, which fits a multi-week hold.

Catalyst 8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits

Levels stop 8% · target 18% · time stop 12 sessions (distances from the entry)

The Scout's page: its job and record

Gate the fact card the code checked

Reaction since the news: flat (under 0.5σ either way)
Versus its sector: in line
Trend: mixed
52-week position: mid-range
News age: 0 sessions
Next earnings: 2026-10-29
Crowding: elevated
Earnings date confirmed: no
Sessions since last earnings: 49
Filing age (days): 0.07
Latest results age (days): 70
Gross margin change: 3.72
Operating margin change: 19.13
Revenue growth change: 3.31
Revenue vs a year ago: 15.6
Sector fund: XLV

Price and volume readings are shown as words: the exact figures come from a market-data licence that does not allow republishing them.

Every swing rule, with its numbers

Skeptic the Skeptic passed it · priced in: no

pass priced in: no · news: new · bigger picture: neutral · crowding: medium

8-K EX-99.1 states Japan MHLW approved Optune Pax for unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer, matching the claim exactly. 8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
News is redacted sessions old and the stock has not moved: move_since_news_close_sigma redacted live move only redacted, so nothing is priced in yet. news age (sessions) move since the news (σ) live move since the news (σ)
Index and sector are flat over the window (rel_move_since_pct redacted), so any move would be stock-specific, not beta. move vs sector and beta S&P 500 since the news sector move since the news
Short interest redacted of float with redacted and crowding elevated; a squeeze tailwind, not a blocker. short interest days to cover crowding
Stock is redacted below its 52-week high and 20-day return is redacted, so the approval is a genuinely new fact against a weak tape. from 52-week high 20-day return

What would change its mind A completed close that runs redacted or more in the trade's direction, or a restatement showing the approval was already known.

The Skeptic's page: its job and record

Debate the bull's and the bear's case

Bull (one argument for the batch idea:1, idea:2, idea:3, idea:5)

The strongest honest case is idea:3 NVCR, then idea:1 MU. NVCR: the Japan MHLW approval is a genuinely new fact (filing_age_d redacted, news_age_sessions redacted) and the tape has not absorbed it — move_since_news_close_sigma redacted live move only redacted (redacted) on redacted volume, with rel_move_since_pct redacted against flat SPX/sector. Short interest is redacted of float with redacted days to cover, so a squeeze tailwind sits behind a long, and the stock is redacted below its 52-week high with ret_20d redacted, i.e. the approval lands on a washed-out base rather than after a run. MU: the beat and strong guidance are hours old (news_age_sessions redacted), the completed-bar move is exactly redacted (move_since_news_close_sigma redacted), and the live drift is redacted (redacted) — a mild fade, not a rejection, on redacted volume, with trend up and ret_20d redacted. I concede idea:2 SINT: the Skeptic is right — redacted (redacted) on redacted volume on the day of the beat, after redacted in redacted sessions, is a stock-specific rejection with no squeeze fuel (redacted of float). I concede idea:5 JBL: the cited item is a preview, not results, and redacted on redacted volume with trend down is a fully expressed move against a long.

The Japan approval is hours old and unpriced: completed-bar move redacted, live move only redacted on redacted volume. move since the news (σ) live move since the news (σ) news age (sessions) last day's volume vs normal 8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
The move would be stock-specific: relative move 0 with SPX and sector flat over the window. move vs sector and beta S&P 500 since the news sector move since the news
redacted of float short with redacted gives a squeeze tailwind behind a long. short interest days to cover
The approval lands on a washed-out base: redacted below the 52-week high, ret_20d redacted, ret_60d redacted. from 52-week high 20-day return 60-day return

Bear (one argument for the batch idea:1, idea:2, idea:3, idea:5)

The bull's best idea, NVCR, is the weakest on the numbers. The approval is real, but the tape has already answered: redacted (redacted) on redacted volume is a non-reaction, and a 12-session time stop with an redacted stop against a redacted ATR means one ordinary down day ends the trade. Crowding is elevated, and earnings land 2026-10-29 — inside the 12-session window — so the position carries an unhedged binary. MU: the bull calls redacted a mild fade, but it is a fade on the day the beat was public, with beta_60d redacted and sigma_daily redacted; a redacted stop is under two daily sigmas, and the 10-session stop sits before the 2026-12-17 print. The redacted one-year run and redacted off the low mean the beat was anticipated, not new. SINT and JBL the bull concedes; I agree and would not enter either. Nothing here clears the bar: zero new trades is the honest answer.

NVCR's non-reaction is the tell: redacted on redacted volume on approval day means the market read the news and did not buy it. live move since the news (σ) last day's volume vs normal 8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
Earnings 2026-10-29 falls inside the 12-session time stop, adding an unhedged event to a redacted-beta name. next earnings beta (60 days)
Crowding is elevated and the stock is redacted below its high with ret_20d redacted: a weak tape, not a base. crowding from 52-week high 20-day return

The Bull's page · the Bear's page

PM enter votes 3 of 3 (two are needed)

#1 enter stop 8% · target 18% · 12 sessions: New-country approval is hours old and unpriced: redacted completed-bar move, redacted live, redacted of float short with redacted days to cover, and…
#2 enter stop 8% · target 18% · 10 sessions: New-country approval, hours old, completed-bar move redacted and live only redacted on redacted volume, so nothing is priced in. …
#3 enter stop 8% · target 18% · 12 sessions: New-country approval is hours old and unpriced: completed-bar move redacted, live move only redacted. …

The manager's page: its job and record

Rules too little trading volume

Too little trading volume. S8:illiquid

Every swing rule, with its numbers

MU long post-earnings drift

Stopped at Skeptic: the Skeptic reply unusable. skeptic_failed idea:1 if bought: +3.6% net (open)

Scout pitched : passed
Gate passed : passed
Skeptic failed : stopped here the Skeptic reply unusable
Debate not reached : not reached
PM not reached : not reached
Rules not reached : not reached

Scout the pitch, the catalyst and the levels

Claim Micron beat on earnings and issued strong guidance; data center revenue jumped 11-fold

Thesis · why it is not priced in yet Micron reported after the close with a beat and strong guidance, and the follow-up coverage says fiscal 2027 demand still exceeds supply. The stock is not on the movers screen at all, so the post-earnings repricing has not shown up in completed bars yet. Memory pricing strength is a multi-quarter story, which suits a days-to-weeks hold.

Catalyst licensed headline · cnbc_top licensed headline · cnbc_earnings licensed headline · nasdaq_earnings

Levels stop 6% · target 14% · time stop 10 sessions (distances from the entry)

The Scout's page: its job and record

Gate the fact card the code checked

Reaction since the news: flat (under 0.5σ either way)
Volume since the news: normal
Versus its sector: in line
Trend: up
52-week position: near the high
News age: 1 sessions
Next earnings: 2026-12-17
Crowding: low
Earnings date confirmed: no
Sessions since last earnings: 0
Latest results age (days): 98
Gross margin change: 46.85
Operating margin change: 57.05
Revenue growth change: 149.43
Revenue vs a year ago: 345.72
Sector fund: XLK

Price and volume readings are shown as words: the exact figures come from a market-data licence that does not allow republishing them.

Every swing rule, with its numbers

Skeptic the Skeptic reply unusable · priced in: unknown

failed priced in: unknown · news: unknown · bigger picture: unknown · crowding: unknown

The Skeptic's page: its job and record

Debate the bull's and the bear's case traced only

Bull (one argument for the batch idea:1, idea:2, idea:3, idea:5)

MU's completed-bar reaction to the beat is exactly zero, so the repricing has not shown up in bars yet. move since the news (σ) news age (sessions) licensed headline · cnbc_top
The live fade is mild, not a rejection: redacted (redacted) on redacted volume, well inside a redacted ATR. live move since the news (σ) last day's volume vs normal ATR 14
Trend is up with ret_20d redacted and ret_60d redacted, and the name is redacted below its 52-week high. trend 20-day return 60-day return from 52-week high

Bear (one argument for the batch idea:1, idea:2, idea:3, idea:5)

MU faded redacted on the day the beat was public, with beta_60d redacted and sigma_daily redacted; a redacted stop is under two daily sigmas. live move since the news (σ) beta (60 days) daily volatility
MU is up redacted off its 52-week low and ret_20d redacted; the beat was anticipated, so drift is not a fresh catalyst. from 52-week low 20-day return licensed headline · cnbc_top
The 10-session time stop ends before the 2026-12-17 print, so the position is a pure drift bet with no catalyst inside the window. next earnings news age (sessions)

The Bull's page · the Bear's page

PM enter votes 2 of 3 (two are needed) traced only

#1 enter stop 6% · target 14% · 10 sessions: Beat plus strong guidance is hours old, completed-bar move is exactly redacted and the live fade is only redacted on redacted volume with trend up. …
#2 pass: Beat is real but the tape faded redacted on the day it was public; with beta redacted and sigma redacted a redacted stop is under two daily sigmas…
#3 enter stop 6% · target 14% · 10 sessions: Beat plus strong guidance is hours old, completed-bar move is exactly zero, and the live fade is only redacted on redacted volume with trend up. …

The manager's page: its job and record

Rules too soon after earnings traced only

Too soon after earnings. S9:post_earnings_wait

Every swing rule, with its numbers

Traced with nothing blocking it, this idea would have ended at the swing rules (manager 2/3): too soon after earnings.

SINT long news continuation

Stopped at Skeptic: the Skeptic rejected it. skeptic_reject idea:2 if bought: +0.9% net (open)

Scout pitched : passed
Gate passed : passed
Skeptic reject : stopped here the Skeptic rejected it
Debate not reached : not reached
PM not reached : not reached
Rules not reached : not reached

Scout the pitch, the catalyst and the levels

Claim Preliminary Q3 revenue exceeded the high end of guidance, up about redacted from Q2; Q4 guidance reiterated

Thesis · why it is not priced in yet An 8-K item 2.02 with preliminary Q3 revenue above the high end of guidance and roughly redacted sequential growth, plus a reiterated Q4 guide and a warrant call that signals confidence. This is a small, unscreened name, so the screen gives no read on how much of the news is in the price. The revenue step-up is a fundamental change, not a one-day headline.

Catalyst 8-K: Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits

Levels stop 8% · target 18% · time stop 8 sessions (distances from the entry)

The Scout's page: its job and record

Gate the fact card the code checked

Reaction since the news: flat (under 0.5σ either way)
Versus its sector: in line
Trend: mixed
52-week position: mid-range
News age: 0 sessions
Next earnings: 2026-12-31
Crowding: low
Earnings date confirmed: no
Sessions since last earnings: 0
Filing age (days): 0.07
Latest results age (days): 51
Gross margin change: 23.76
Operating margin change: 1125.96
Revenue growth change: 196.36
Revenue vs a year ago: 199.34
Sector fund: XLV

Price and volume readings are shown as words: the exact figures come from a market-data licence that does not allow republishing them.

Every swing rule, with its numbers

Skeptic the Skeptic rejected it · priced in: mostly

reject priced in: mostly · news: new · bigger picture: against · crowding: medium

The 8-K preliminary Q3 revenue beat and reiterated Q4 guidance match the claim exactly, and a revenue beat supports a long. 8-K: Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
Live move is redacted (redacted) against the long on the day of the beat, with volume redacted normal, a stock-specific rejection of the news. live move since the news (σ) last day's volume vs normal move today (live)
Index and sector were only mildly negative (SPY redacted, QQQ redacted, XLV redacted), so the drop is not beta. SPY 1-day move QQQ 1-day move XLV 1-day move
Stock had already run redacted in 20 sessions and redacted in 5 sessions into the print, so the beat was largely anticipated. 20-day return 5-day return
Short interest is low (redacted of float, redacted), so there is no squeeze fuel to offset the sell-off. short interest days to cover

What would change its mind A close back above the pre-news level on declining volume, or a new filing with detail the sell-off does not contain.

The Skeptic's page: its job and record

Debate the bull's and the bear's case traced only

Bull (one argument for the batch idea:1, idea:2, idea:3, idea:5)

Conceded: SINT fell redacted (redacted) on redacted volume on the beat day after redacted in redacted sessions, with only redacted of float short. live move since the news (σ) last day's volume vs normal 20-day return short interest

Bear (one argument for the batch idea:1, idea:2, idea:3, idea:5)

SINT: redacted (redacted) on redacted volume on the beat day after redacted in redacted sessions; the news was in the price. live move since the news (σ) last day's volume vs normal 20-day return

The Bull's page · the Bear's page

PM enter votes 0 of 3 (two are needed) traced only

#1 pass: The beat was rejected on the day: redacted (redacted) on redacted volume after redacted in redacted sessions, with no squeeze fuel. …
#2 pass: The beat was rejected: redacted (redacted) on redacted volume after redacted in redacted sessions, with only redacted of float short. …
#3 pass: The beat was rejected: redacted (redacted) on redacted volume after redacted in redacted sessions, with only redacted of float short. …

The manager's page: its job and record

Traced with nothing blocking it, this idea would have ended at the manager (manager 0/3): the manager passed.

JBL long post-earnings drift

Stopped at Skeptic: the cited item does not support the claim. catalyst_misread idea:5 if bought: +1.3% net (open)

Scout pitched : passed
Gate passed : passed
Skeptic reject : stopped here the cited item does not support the claim
Debate not reached : not reached
PM not reached : not reached
Rules not reached : not reached

Scout the pitch, the catalyst and the levels

Claim Jabil reported pre-market earnings for the quarter ending August 31

Thesis · why it is not priced in yet Jabil reported before the open and the stock fell redacted on nearly five times normal volume, a redacted move. That is a large, high-volume repricing of an earnings print, and the drift after such a move often continues in the direction of the surprise over the following sessions. I take the long side of the overreaction, with a stop wide enough to survive the post-earnings range.

Catalyst licensed headline · nasdaq_earnings movers screen row

Levels stop 8% · target 18% · time stop 8 sessions (distances from the entry)

The Scout's page: its job and record

Gate the fact card the code checked

Reaction since the news: strongly against the idea (≤ −2σ)
Volume since the news: climax (≥ 3× normal)
Versus its sector: lagging
Trend: down
52-week position: mid-range
News age: 1 sessions
Next earnings: 2026-12-16
Crowding: low
Earnings date confirmed: no
Sessions since last earnings: 1
Latest results age (days): 93
Gross margin change: 0.76
Operating margin change: -0.06
Revenue growth change: -11.31
Revenue vs a year ago: 11.79
Sector fund: XLK

Price and volume readings are shown as words: the exact figures come from a market-data licence that does not allow republishing them.

Every swing rule, with its numbers

Skeptic the Skeptic rejected it · priced in: fully

reject priced in: fully · news: new · bigger picture: against · crowding: low code: catalyst misread

The cited item is a pre-market earnings preview listing consensus expectations, not a report of results; the claim that Jabil 'reported' is not supported by the item. licensed headline · nasdaq_earnings
The stock is down redacted on the close since the news and redacted live, with a redacted gap — a reaction clearly against a long. move since the news (σ) live move since the news (σ) gap
Relative move of redacted versus NDX redacted and XLK redacted shows this is stock-specific, not sector or index beta. move vs sector and beta Nasdaq 100 since the news sector move since the news
Volume ratio redactedand trend down with ret_5d redacted indicate a climax move already fully expressed against the long side. last day's volume vs normal trend 5-day return

What would change its mind An actual reported result with a beat/raise and a stock-specific move that is not already redacted+ sigma against the long.

The Skeptic's page: its job and record

Debate the bull's and the bear's case traced only

Bull (one argument for the batch idea:1, idea:2, idea:3, idea:5)

No claim about JBL.

Bear (one argument for the batch idea:1, idea:2, idea:3, idea:5)

JBL: redacted on redacted volume, trend down, ret_5d redacted; the cited item is a preview, not results. move since the news (σ) last day's volume vs normal trend licensed headline · nasdaq_earnings

The Bull's page · the Bear's page

PM enter votes 0 of 3 (two are needed) traced only

#1 pass: The cited item is a preview, not results, and the tape is redacted on redacted volume with trend down. No long edge against a fully expressed move.
#2 pass: The cited item is a pre-market preview, not results, so the claim is unsupported. redacted on redacted volume with trend down is a fully expressed move against…
#3 pass: The cited item is a preview, not results, and the move is redacted on redacted volume with trend down. A long here is fighting a fully expressed repricing.

The manager's page: its job and record

Traced with nothing blocking it, this idea would have ended at the manager (manager 0/3): the manager passed.

CTVA long event run up paper-only setup

Stopped at Scout: a paper-only setup: tracked on paper, never traded. setup_paper_only idea:4 if bought: corporate action, not counted

Scout pitched : stopped here a paper-only setup: tracked on paper, never traded
Gate not reached : not reached
Skeptic not reached : not reached
Debate not reached : not reached
PM not reached : not reached
Rules not reached : not reached

Scout the pitch, the catalyst and the levels

Claim Corteva completed the separation of its seed segment into independent publicly traded Vylor Inc.

Thesis · why it is not priced in yet The seed separation is now complete, creating two focused companies and a likely index and holder rebalancing flow over the coming sessions. The screen shows CTVA essentially unmoved on light volume, so the structural event has not been traded yet. Spin-off flows build over days, not minutes.

Catalyst 8-K: Item 8.01 Other Events movers screen row

Levels stop 5% · target 11% · time stop 10 sessions (distances from the entry)

The Scout's page: its job and record

Gate the fact card the code checked

No fact card.

Every swing rule, with its numbers

The Scout looked at and passed on: WTS, LDOS, ROP, KITT, PLMK, BCDA, APUS, WAMFF, DARE, CHH.

This run traced every idea through every stage, so later steps also ran for ideas the real pipeline had stopped (marked "traced only"); 4 idea(s) would have ended elsewhere.

Core council

Built basis the council's decision · 6 lines re-weighted · macro regime neutral · 3 valid manager attempts

Line	Before	Manager proposed	Final, after the risk engine
NDX	0.0%	35.0%	35.0%
SEMIS	0.0%	15.0%	15.0%
SPX	0.0%	15.0%	15.0%
GOLD	0.0%	3.0%	3.0%
BTC	0.0%	13.0%	13.0%
ETH	0.0%	5.0%	5.0%
OIL	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
EURUSD	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
GBPUSD	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Manager attempts

#1: valid · sided with bear
Decisive fact GOLD is the sole line below both averages with the pack's only vol shock above 1.0x (1.10x) and a -23.2% drawdown; the +0.25 reference is a residual long, not a position.
GOLD cut: Only line in a downtrend with a band allowing a cut: -3.84%/-8.52% vs averages, dd52 -23.2%, vol shock 1.10x, the pack's only reading above 1.0x.
#2: valid · sided with reference
Decisive fact GOLD's 63-day momentum is +2.76% and vol_ratio 0.97x is normal; the 1.10x shock is a single reading, not a qualifying card, so the +0.25 reference stands inside its band.
All equity lines are in uptrends with bands pinned at the reference and no qualifying card; GOLD's cut is a paid move against positive 63d momentum. Reference stands everywhere.
#3: valid · sided with reference
Decisive fact GOLD's 63-day momentum is +2.76% and vol_ratio 0.97x is normal; the 1.10x shock is a single reading, not a qualifying card, so the +0.25 reference inside the band stands.
All equity lines are in uptrends with bands pinned at the reference and no qualifying card; GOLD's cut is a paid 30bp move on positive 63d momentum; crypto and FX are reference-only or pinned.

Bull

Three core equity lines are in uptrends with the reference already at +1.00 and bands pinned at [+1.00,+1.00]: NDX +3.6% over SMA50, +11.1% over SMA200, mom10d +5.1%, dd52 only -1.0%, vol 0.91x median and shock 0.58x; SPX +6.5% over SMA200 with vol 0.83x median; SEMIS +7.6%/+25.8% with mom10d +13.3% and shock 0.50x. Nothing in the pack justifies cutting any of them, and the cost gate plus the 0.25 deadband make adds on 15bp lines unattractive against a 0.2-sigma hurdle. The strongest bearish fact is the 51-55bp 20-day yield repricing (K:news:1), but VIX at 16.3 and dd52 of -1.0% to -1.7% show it is not being priced as a break; it argues for holding, not cutting. GOLD is the one line where the trend is genuinely down: I concede the reference +0.25 is the honest level, not a long.

Bear

The bull's own numbers undercut the hold-everything case. SEMIS carries mom63d -5.12% and dd52 -13.13% — the only equity line with a negative quarter and a double-digit drawdown — while its sigma_ann is 39.65%, the highest of the three, and its band is pinned at [+1.00,+1.00] with 'may: add' only. I cannot cut it: no code volatility card exists (shock 0.50x, vol_ratio 1.00x) and K:news:1's scope is NDX,SPX, not SEMIS. So I concede the reference there and everywhere the band pins me. GOLD is the one line where the trend is genuinely down and the band allows a cut to 0.00: -3.84% under SMA50, -8.52% under SMA200, dd52 -23.20%, mom10d -2.78%, and vol shock 1.10x — the only line above 1.0x. That is a real, code-visible deterioration, and cutting to flat is a move toward less risk, not a short. I propose no shorts: no line's band offers one.

6 analyst cards.

The sealed record (JSON) · every decision · every meeting · the manager's page · the core rules

Inputs

56 items on the reading list: 33 public item · 23 licensed headline. 23 licensed headline(s) shown by id and source only; 7 item(s) cited by an agent, listed first.

The full reading list 56 item(s)

Item	Source	Age	Tickers
cited licensed headline N:00a84ad8	cnbc_top	0.7 h	market-wide
cited 8-K: Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	1.6 h	SINT
cited 8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	1.7 h	NVCR
cited 8-K: Item 8.01 Other Events	—	2.4 h	CTVA
cited licensed headline N:e234a67e	cnbc_earnings	14.5 h	market-wide
cited licensed headline N:8dcbf665	nasdaq_earnings	20.7 h	MU, PRGS
cited licensed headline N:b69b744c	nasdaq_earnings	42.7 h	JBL, FDS
licensed headline N:824011f6	benzinga	0.5 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:489eaa2b	benzinga	0.5 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:e462cbe4	benzinga	0.5 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:39f742fd	benzinga	0.5 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:4ed93f29	benzinga	0.5 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:2b21eb06	benzinga	0.5 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:2279a804	benzinga	0.5 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:6a4a7594	benzinga	0.5 h	market-wide
Waller, The Data Version of Godzilla versus Kong: FRED Takes on AI	—	0.7 h	market-wide
8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…	—	0.9 h	WTS
8-K: Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	1.2 h	KITT
licensed headline N:4db490ce	cnbc_top	1.3 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:fbb4bd15	cnbc_top	1.4 h	market-wide
8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	1.4 h	PLMK
8-K: Item 8.01 Other Events	—	1.4 h	GANX
8-K: Item 8.01 Other Events; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	1.4 h	BCDA
8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…	—	1.4 h	APUS
8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…	—	1.5 h	WAMFF
8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…	—	1.5 h	LDOS
8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…	—	1.6 h	ROP
8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	1.7 h	DARE
8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers	—	1.7 h	CHH
8-K: Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Item 2.01 Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets; Item 3.02 Unregistered Sales of…	—	1.7 h	LRHC
8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	1.7 h	FCCO
8-K: Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Item 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet…	—	1.7 h	USBC
8-K: Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	1.7 h	CAPS
8-K: Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	1.8 h	VHC
8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…	—	1.9 h	AMCI
8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…	—	2.1 h	VIR
8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	2.2 h	AASP
8-K: Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	2.2 h	CION
8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits	—	2.2 h	AVX
6-K: report of a foreign private issuer	—	2.4 h	FER
licensed headline N:69030063	cnbc_top	14.9 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:4416f4d4	nasdaq_earnings	18 h	MU, NVDA, GOOGL
licensed headline N:43174ede	nasdaq_earnings	18.7 h	ACN, MKC
Cook, The Dual Mandate in Rural America	—	19.2 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:5e0f6ebd	nasdaq_earnings	19.6 h	NFLX
licensed headline N:76da8127	nasdaq_earnings	21.6 h	HRL
17-Week Bill Treasury Auction Results	—	23.1 h	market-wide
Treasury announces 17-Week Bill	—	23.1 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:297ac584	nasdaq_earnings	24.2 h	ARHS, LOVE, WSM
U.S. electricity use for electric vehicles increasing at a slower pace in 2026	—	24.7 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:63a96423	fda_press	25.2 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:4d24670e	nasdaq_earnings	25.6 h	BTI
Personal Income and Outlays, August 2026	—	26.1 h	market-wide
GDP, (Third Estimate), Industries, Corporate Profits, State GDP, and State Personal Income, 2nd Quarter 2026; State PCE, 2025	—	26.2 h	market-wide
licensed headline N:d4cdb31f	fda_press	41.6 h	market-wide
Waller, Payments in the Age of AI Agents	—	43.7 h	market-wide

Licensed headlines (RSS and the broker's feed) are shown by id and source only; public-domain items (SEC, Federal Reserve, BLS, …) with their title and link.

Movers screen and market context 30 mover(s) · 14 context row(s)

Ticker	Last day's move	Volume vs normal	Sector
JBL	down sharply (3σ or more)	>4×	BusEq
MKC	down sharply (3σ or more)	2-4×	NoDur
NOC	down sharply (3σ or more)	1-2×	BusEq
GIS	down sharply (3σ or more)	1-2×	NoDur
ITW	down (2–3σ)	2-4×	Manuf
ACGL	down (2–3σ)	1-2×	Money
KHC	down (2–3σ)	<1×	NoDur
HSY	down (2–3σ)	1-2×	NoDur
HIG	down (2–3σ)	1-2×	Money
HII	up (2–3σ)	1-2×	Manuf
FICO	down (under 2σ)	>4×	Other
JBL	down sharply (3σ or more)	>4×	BusEq
WBD	flat (under 0.5σ)	>4×	—
GEN	up (under 2σ)	2-4×	BusEq
MDT	down (under 2σ)	2-4×	Hlth
SNPS	up (under 2σ)	2-4×	—
EXC	down (under 2σ)	2-4×	Utils
CBOE	up (2–3σ)	2-4×	Money
MGM	down (under 2σ)	2-4×	Other
ITW	down (2–3σ)	2-4×	Manuf
LULU	flat (under 0.5σ)	<1×	NoDur
MNST	flat (under 0.5σ)	1-2×	NoDur
CTVA	flat (under 0.5σ)	<1×	NoDur
ADM	flat (under 0.5σ)	<1×	NoDur
STZ	flat (under 0.5σ)	<1×	NoDur
RL	flat (under 0.5σ)	<1×	NoDur
BG	down (under 2σ)	<1×	NoDur
NWSA	flat (under 0.5σ)	<1×	NoDur
HRL	flat (under 0.5σ)	1-2×	NoDur
BF.B	flat (under 0.5σ)	<1×	NoDur

The screen is built from licensed market data: moves are shown as bands of the stock's normal daily move (σ), never the figure.

SPY (S&P 500 ETF) was flat (under 0.5σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF) was flat (under 0.5σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
VIXY (VIX short-term futures ETF, volatility proxy) rose (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
XLP (consumer staples sector ETF) fell (2–3σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
XLI (industrials sector ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
XLV (health care sector ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
XLF (financials sector ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
XLB (materials sector ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
XLU (utilities sector ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
XLK (technology sector ETF) rose (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
XLC (communication services sector ETF) was flat (under 0.5σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
XLY (consumer discretionary sector ETF) was flat (under 0.5σ) in the 2026-09-30 session
XLE (energy sector ETF) was flat (under 0.5σ) in the 2026-09-30 session

No trade

1Every idea's journey

2Core council

Manager attempts

3Inputs

Every idea's journey

Core council

Inputs