{"core":{"bands":{"BTC":{"hi":1.0,"lo":1.0,"qualifying_cards":[],"reasons":["reference-only line"],"ref_level":1.0,"trend":"up"},"ETH":{"hi":1.0,"lo":1.0,"qualifying_cards":[],"reasons":["reference-only line"],"ref_level":1.0,"trend":"up"},"EURUSD":{"hi":0.0,"lo":0.0,"qualifying_cards":[],"reasons":["overlay trend down"],"ref_level":0.0,"trend":"down"},"GBPUSD":{"hi":0.5,"lo":0.0,"qualifying_cards":[],"reasons":["overlay trend up"],"ref_level":0.0,"trend":"up"},"GOLD":{"hi":0.26,"lo":0.26,"qualifying_cards":[],"reasons":["frozen: hold current"],"ref_level":0.25,"trend":"down"},"NDX":{"hi":1.03,"lo":1.03,"qualifying_cards":[],"reasons":["frozen: hold current"],"ref_level":1.0,"trend":"up"},"OIL":{"hi":0.5,"lo":0.0,"qualifying_cards":[],"reasons":["overlay trend up"],"ref_level":0.0,"trend":"up"},"SEMIS":{"hi":1.03,"lo":1.03,"qualifying_cards":[],"reasons":["frozen: hold current"],"ref_level":1.0,"trend":"up"},"SPX":{"hi":1.03,"lo":1.03,"qualifying_cards":[],"reasons":["frozen: hold current"],"ref_level":1.0,"trend":"up"}},"basis":"council","calls":[{"latency_ms":3606,"prompt_id":"council-news/v2","prompt_sha":"0143d986084bef9a873787f37513a8f91fc3b84d727975b9786cf326aa531438","replicate":0,"role":"news","status":"ok","tokens_in":6435,"tokens_out":1092},{"latency_ms":3343,"prompt_id":"council-bull_open/v1","prompt_sha":"c312f8c40adb47fcb4006234104bb49d319828b9507dd74d94938d04c1ee25c9","replicate":0,"role":"bull_open","status":"ok","tokens_in":5465,"tokens_out":1178},{"latency_ms":4845,"prompt_id":"council-bear/v1","prompt_sha":"b156946ac8ff38634d86077e8a49bb6bebfde6e70a7a4a5a248cea38741fc0eb","replicate":0,"role":"bear","status":"ok","tokens_in":6623,"tokens_out":1476},{"latency_ms":3378,"prompt_id":"council-bull_rebuttal/v1","prompt_sha":"4ff0bba5a21569b3fe3b75b04a29b546d0064f4b7b74bd37341b2c4bd3e16ea1","replicate":0,"role":"bull_rebuttal","status":"ok","tokens_in":7559,"tokens_out":940},{"latency_ms":1312,"prompt_id":"council-pm/v1","prompt_sha":"3732a765b3c2586616786c12f7e20b9604e8d49e6afaa9c9fb4e0410894701e7","replicate":0,"role":"pm","status":"ok","tokens_in":8858,"tokens_out":269},{"latency_ms":1432,"prompt_id":"council-pm/v1","prompt_sha":"3732a765b3c2586616786c12f7e20b9604e8d49e6afaa9c9fb4e0410894701e7","replicate":1,"role":"pm","status":"ok","tokens_in":8858,"tokens_out":272},{"latency_ms":1263,"prompt_id":"council-pm/v1","prompt_sha":"3732a765b3c2586616786c12f7e20b9604e8d49e6afaa9c9fb4e0410894701e7","replicate":2,"role":"pm","status":"ok","tokens_in":8858,"tokens_out":268},{"latency_ms":981,"prompt_id":"council-single_agent/v1","prompt_sha":"a66e23487d2151162636366bad2050e6f2a0d80018ca32781a852ff4dff225c9","replicate":0,"role":"single_agent","status":"ok","tokens_in":5463,"tokens_out":133},{"latency_ms":984,"prompt_id":"council-single_agent/v1","prompt_sha":"a66e23487d2151162636366bad2050e6f2a0d80018ca32781a852ff4dff225c9","replicate":1,"role":"single_agent","status":"ok","tokens_in":5463,"tokens_out":149},{"latency_ms":956,"prompt_id":"council-single_agent/v1","prompt_sha":"a66e23487d2151162636366bad2050e6f2a0d80018ca32781a852ff4dff225c9","replicate":2,"role":"single_agent","status":"ok","tokens_in":5463,"tokens_out":127},{"latency_ms":3894,"prompt_id":"council-scout/v3","prompt_sha":"2e02a273ce304398b25f0e6e6d2b922318bcef8c2e3533515f11486bfa2631a1","replicate":0,"role":"scout","status":"ok","tokens_in":11704,"tokens_out":1242},{"latency_ms":2634,"prompt_id":"council-skeptic/v4","prompt_sha":"ef62bb6ea9a83404f05745a087986704e0556a25c73019d30cc8c3feafac5d78","replicate":0,"role":"skeptic","status":"ok","tokens_in":3945,"tokens_out":653},{"latency_ms":2593,"prompt_id":"council-skeptic/v4","prompt_sha":"ef62bb6ea9a83404f05745a087986704e0556a25c73019d30cc8c3feafac5d78","replicate":0,"role":"skeptic","status":"ok","tokens_in":4037,"tokens_out":645},{"latency_ms":2944,"prompt_id":"council-skeptic/v4","prompt_sha":"ef62bb6ea9a83404f05745a087986704e0556a25c73019d30cc8c3feafac5d78","replicate":0,"role":"skeptic","status":"ok","tokens_in":3807,"tokens_out":720},{"latency_ms":3933,"prompt_id":"council-swing_bull/v1","prompt_sha":"407e5420ec7562554783ec1a5bf6ab995d135db1b7f3346a7691e2e5b8b1c13c","replicate":0,"role":"swing_bull","status":"ok","tokens_in":6744,"tokens_out":1054},{"latency_ms":5436,"prompt_id":"council-swing_bear/v1","prompt_sha":"8cb26d335f000e67a68f018f705ef8925455b6faf10e62eadece45f7972fbfc5","replicate":0,"role":"swing_bear","status":"ok","tokens_in":7849,"tokens_out":1669},{"latency_ms":3552,"prompt_id":"council-swing_pm/v3","prompt_sha":"77f23919bc6411d39c221f88c9ff9bda4682bf197b6feebd2fe55366a7dec636","replicate":0,"role":"swing_pm","status":"ok","tokens_in":9990,"tokens_out":869},{"latency_ms":3196,"prompt_id":"council-swing_pm/v3","prompt_sha":"77f23919bc6411d39c221f88c9ff9bda4682bf197b6feebd2fe55366a7dec636","replicate":1,"role":"swing_pm","status":"ok","tokens_in":9990,"tokens_out":780},{"latency_ms":3358,"prompt_id":"council-swing_pm/v3","prompt_sha":"77f23919bc6411d39c221f88c9ff9bda4682bf197b6feebd2fe55366a7dec636","replicate":2,"role":"swing_pm","status":"ok","tokens_in":9990,"tokens_out":807}],"cards":[],"cycle_id":"2026-10-01T1840Z","debate":{"bear":{"argument":"The bull's own numbers undercut his calm: DGS10 +51bps to 5.26% and DGS2 +55bps in 20 days is a repricing, not noise, and VIX 16.34 is the level from which shocks start. Every core line is frozen with band [+1.03,+1.03] and may:none, so no cut is even admissible this cycle; the honest bear case is that the reference is the ceiling, not a floor. SEMIS is the tell: mom63d -5.1% and dd52 -13.1% while the trend still reads up, i.e. a broken intermediate trend masked by a 10-day bounce. GOLD is already at its downtrend reference +0.25 with dd52 -23.2%. I propose no deviations: nothing is admitted, and OIL/GBPUSD adds pay 0.96bps/day carry into negative 10-day momentum.","claims":[{"claim_id":"c1","evidence":[{"id":"F:NDX:market_open","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:market_open","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SPX:market_open","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GOLD:market_open","kind":"market"}],"text":"All four core lines are frozen with band [+1.03,+1.03] and may:none, so no deviation is admissible; the reference is the only executable level."},{"claim_id":"c2","evidence":[{"id":"F:SEMIS:mom63d","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:dd52","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:mom10d","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:trend","kind":"market"}],"text":"SEMIS mom63d -5.1% with dd52 -13.1% is a broken intermediate trend; the +13.3% 10-day bounce is the counter-trend move, not the trend."},{"claim_id":"c3","evidence":[{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DGS10","unit":null,"value":null},{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DGS2","unit":null,"value":null},{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DFF","unit":null,"value":null},{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":null,"publishable":false,"series":"VIXCLS","unit":null,"value":null}],"text":"Rates repriced hard: DGS10 +51bps to 5.26%, DGS2 +55bps to 4.89%, DFF +25bps, with VIX at 16.34 - the cheapest point to buy protection, not the safest."},{"claim_id":"c4","evidence":[{"id":"C:OIL:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost"},{"id":"F:OIL:mom10d","kind":"market"},{"id":"C:GBPUSD:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost"},{"id":"F:GBPUSD:mom10d","kind":"market"}],"text":"OIL and GBPUSD adds both pay 0.96bps/day carry while mom10d is negative (-6.7% and -0.8%); the cost gate kills a 0.25 add."},{"claim_id":"c5","evidence":[{"id":"F:GOLD:trend","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GOLD:dist_sma200","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GOLD:dd52","kind":"market"},{"id":"V:GOLD:ewma5_60","kind":"vol"}],"text":"GOLD is in a downtrend, -8.5% below SMA200 with dd52 -23.2%; its +0.25 reference is the ceiling and vol shock 1.10x is above median."},{"claim_id":"c6","evidence":[{"id":"F:NDX:trend","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SPX:trend","kind":"market"}],"text":"No K: cards exist this cycle, so no cut on any line can be justified; the burden of proof for deviating is unmet in both directions."}],"concessions":["NDX and SPX uptrends are intact and their volatility is below median; I do not propose cutting them.","SEMIS trend still reads up and it is frozen, so the reference stands this cycle.","No qualifying K: card exists, so no cut is admissible anywhere.","OIL's 63-day momentum +41.0% is genuinely strong; I only object to the entry timing and carry."],"proposal_levels":{},"rebuttals":[{"claim_id":"c1","evidence":[{"id":"F:NDX:dist_sma50","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:NDX:dist_sma200","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:NDX:dd52","kind":"market"},{"id":"V:NDX:vol_ratio","kind":"vol"}],"text":"Correct on NDX: +3.6% over SMA50, +11.1% over SMA200, dd52 -1.0%, vol 0.91x. The reference is right and it is frozen anyway.","verdict":"concede"},{"claim_id":"c2","evidence":[{"id":"F:SPX:trend","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SPX:dist_sma200","kind":"market"},{"id":"V:SPX:vol_ratio","kind":"vol"}],"text":"SPX uptrend and low vol are real; I do not argue for a cut there.","verdict":"concede"},{"claim_id":"c3","evidence":[{"id":"F:SEMIS:mom63d","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:dd52","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:mom10d","kind":"market"}],"text":"The trend label hides the damage: mom63d -5.1% and dd52 -13.1% mean the 63-day path is down; +7.6% over SMA50 is a bounce, not confirmation.","verdict":"refute"},{"claim_id":"c4","evidence":[{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DGS10","unit":null,"value":null},{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DGS2","unit":null,"value":null},{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":null,"publishable":false,"series":"VIXCLS","unit":null,"value":null},{"id":"F:NDX:dd52","kind":"market"}],"text":"Absorption is asserted, not shown. DGS10 +51bps and DGS2 +55bps in 20 days with VIX 16.34 is unabsorbed duration risk; NDX dd52 -1.0% is complacency, not proof.","verdict":"refute"},{"claim_id":"c5","evidence":[{"id":"C:OIL:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost"},{"id":"F:OIL:mom10d","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GBPUSD:mom10d","kind":"market"}],"text":"Agreed the OIL add fails the cost gate; I go further and say the same for GBPUSD, whose 10-day momentum is also negative.","verdict":"concede"},{"claim_id":"c6","evidence":[{"id":"F:GBPUSD:dist_sma50","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GBPUSD:dist_sma200","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GBPUSD:mom10d","kind":"market"}],"text":"Correct, no GBPUSD add: price is below both averages with mom10d -0.8%.","verdict":"concede"}],"strongest_opposing":{"id":"F:NDX:dist_sma200","kind":"market"}},"bull":{"argument":"The core equity lines are all in uptrends and already sit at the reference: NDX +3.6% over SMA50 and +11.1% over SMA200 with mom10d +5.1%, dd52 only -1.0%, vol 0.91x median and vol shock 0.58x; SPX +6.5% over SMA200, dd52 -1.7%, vol 0.83x median. Nothing in the pack justifies cutting them, and they are frozen anyway, so the honest position is to hold full size. SEMIS is the one line where I would not add: mom63d is -5.1% and dd52 -13.1% even though the trend reads up, so the reference is the right level. The strongest bearish fact is the 20-day jump in DGS10 (+51 bps to 5.26%) and DGS2 (+55 bps), which pressures long-duration equity; but NDX is only 1.0% off its 52-week high with vol shock 0.58x, so the tape has already absorbed it. OIL is the only add I would argue: trend up, +27.4% over SMA200, mom63d +41.0%, band allows +0.50, but mom10d -6.7% and carry 0.96 bps/day make a 0.25 add marginal against the cost gate, so I hold at 0.00. GBPUSD band allows +0.50 but price is below both averages and mom10d -0.8%, so no add.","claims":[{"claim_id":"c1","evidence":[{"id":"F:NDX:trend","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:NDX:dist_sma50","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:NDX:dist_sma200","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:NDX:mom10d","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:NDX:dd52","kind":"market"}],"text":"NDX is in an uptrend, +3.6% over SMA50 and +11.1% over SMA200, with mom10d +5.1% and dd52 only -1.0%; the reference +1.00 is the right level."},{"claim_id":"c2","evidence":[{"id":"F:SPX:trend","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SPX:dist_sma200","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SPX:dd52","kind":"market"},{"id":"V:SPX:vol_ratio","kind":"vol"}],"text":"SPX uptrend with +6.5% over SMA200, dd52 -1.7% and vol 0.83x of 1y median; no case to cut below reference."},{"claim_id":"c3","evidence":[{"id":"F:SEMIS:mom63d","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:dd52","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:dist_sma50","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:trend","kind":"market"}],"text":"SEMIS trend reads up but mom63d is -5.1% and dd52 -13.1%, so I do not add above the reference despite +7.6% over SMA50."},{"claim_id":"c4","evidence":[{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DGS10","unit":null,"value":null},{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DGS2","unit":null,"value":null},{"id":"V:NDX:ewma5_60","kind":"vol"},{"id":"F:NDX:dd52","kind":"market"}],"text":"The 20-day rise in DGS10 (+51 bps to 5.26%) and DGS2 (+55 bps) is the main bearish fact, but NDX vol shock is 0.58x and dd52 -1.0%, so it is not forcing a cut."},{"claim_id":"c5","evidence":[{"id":"F:OIL:trend","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:OIL:dist_sma200","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:OIL:mom63d","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:OIL:mom10d","kind":"market"},{"id":"C:OIL:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost"}],"text":"OIL trend up with +27.4% over SMA200 and mom63d +41.0%, but mom10d -6.7% and carry 0.96 bps/day make a 0.25 add fail the cost gate; hold at 0.00."},{"claim_id":"c6","evidence":[{"id":"F:GBPUSD:dist_sma50","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GBPUSD:dist_sma200","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GBPUSD:mom10d","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GBPUSD:trend","kind":"market"}],"text":"GBPUSD band allows +0.50 but price is below both averages (-1.2% vs SMA50, -0.6% vs SMA200) with mom10d -0.8%; no add."}],"concessions":["SEMIS mom63d is negative at -5.1% and dd52 -13.1%, so I would not add there.","GOLD is in a downtrend, -8.5% below SMA200 and dd52 -23.2%, so the reference +0.25 is the ceiling, not a floor.","OIL mom10d is -6.7% and carry 0.96 bps/day, so the add I would like is not worth its cost.","The 20-day move in DGS10 and DGS2 is a real headwind for long-duration equity."],"proposal_levels":{},"rebuttals":[],"strongest_opposing":{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DGS10","unit":null,"value":null}},"rebuttal":{"argument":"The bear and I now agree on the executable book: reference everywhere, no deviations. I concede the frozen bands (band [+1.03,+1.03], may:none on NDX, SEMIS, SPX, GOLD) make any cut inadmissible, and that no K: card exists, so the burden for a cut is unmet. Where I still push back: the bear calls NDX dd52 -1.0% 'complacency', but that is a fact about price, not a forecast, and NDX vol shock 0.58x with mom10d +5.1% is the opposite of a line about to break. On SEMIS the bear is right that mom63d -5.1% and dd52 -13.1% are damage; I already refused to add there, so we are aligned. On rates, +51bps in DGS10 is real, but the bear's own VIX 16.34 is below the 1y median regime and NDX absorbed it with dd52 -1.0%. I keep the reference and add nothing.","claims":[{"claim_id":"c1","evidence":[{"id":"F:NDX:market_open","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:market_open","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SPX:market_open","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GOLD:market_open","kind":"market"}],"text":"Frozen bands and may:none on all four core lines mean the reference is the only executable level; I do not contest this."},{"claim_id":"c2","evidence":[{"id":"F:NDX:dd52","kind":"market"},{"id":"V:NDX:ewma5_60","kind":"vol"},{"id":"F:NDX:mom10d","kind":"market"},{"id":"V:NDX:vol_ratio","kind":"vol"}],"text":"NDX dd52 -1.0% is a price fact, not complacency: with vol shock 0.58x and mom10d +5.1%, the tape is not breaking."},{"claim_id":"c3","evidence":[{"id":"F:SEMIS:mom63d","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:dd52","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:trend","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:SEMIS:market_open","kind":"market"}],"text":"SEMIS damage is real (mom63d -5.1%, dd52 -13.1%) and I already refused to add; the reference stands, no cut is admissible."},{"claim_id":"c4","evidence":[{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DGS10","unit":null,"value":null},{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DGS2","unit":null,"value":null},{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":null,"publishable":false,"series":"VIXCLS","unit":null,"value":null},{"id":"F:NDX:dd52","kind":"market"}],"text":"Rates repriced (+51bps DGS10, +55bps DGS2) but VIX 16.34 is not a shock level and NDX dd52 -1.0% shows absorption so far."},{"claim_id":"c5","evidence":[{"id":"C:OIL:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost"},{"id":"F:OIL:mom10d","kind":"market"},{"id":"C:GBPUSD:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost"},{"id":"F:GBPUSD:mom10d","kind":"market"}],"text":"OIL and GBPUSD adds both fail the cost gate: 0.96bps/day carry against mom10d -6.7% and -0.8%; I hold 0.00 on both."},{"claim_id":"c6","evidence":[{"id":"F:GOLD:trend","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GOLD:dist_sma200","kind":"market"},{"id":"F:GOLD:dd52","kind":"market"},{"id":"V:GOLD:ewma5_60","kind":"vol"}],"text":"GOLD downtrend reference +0.25 is the ceiling, not a floor: -8.5% below SMA200, dd52 -23.2%, vol shock 1.10x."}],"concessions":["c1: frozen bands and may:none make any cut inadmissible; reference is the only executable level.","c2: SEMIS mom63d -5.1% and dd52 -13.1% are real damage; I already refused to add there.","c3: no K: card exists, so no cut is justified on any line this cycle.","c4: OIL and GBPUSD adds fail the cost gate on 0.96bps/day carry against negative 10-day momentum."],"proposal_levels":{},"rebuttals":[],"strongest_opposing":{"as_of":null,"kind":"fred","measure":"chg20","publishable":true,"series":"DGS10","unit":null,"value":null}}},"decision":{"approved_slot":null,"human_outcome":"no_action","reason":"","state":"reviewed_no_action"},"facts":[{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:NDX:data_age_h","kind":"market","label":"age of the data","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"hours","value":18.7},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:NDX:dd52","kind":"market","label":"drop from 1-year high","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-1.03},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:NDX:dist_sma200","kind":"market","label":"vs 200-day average","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":11.1},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:NDX:dist_sma50","kind":"market","label":"vs 50-day average","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":3.56},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"F:NDX:market_open","kind":"market","label":"market open or closed","line":"NDX","source":"clock","unit":"state","value":false},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:NDX:mom10d","kind":"market","label":"10-day change","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":5.08},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:NDX:mom63d","kind":"market","label":"3-month change","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":2.12},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:NDX:ret1d_sigma","kind":"market","label":"last day's move vs normal","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"sigma","value":0.24},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:NDX:trend","kind":"market","label":"trend","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"state","value":"up"},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:NDX:ewma5_60","kind":"vol","label":"volatility shock","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.582},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:NDX:sigma_ann","kind":"vol","label":"yearly volatility","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":16.54},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:NDX:vol_ratio","kind":"vol","label":"volatility vs its 1-year norm","line":"NDX","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.908},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:NDX:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost","label":"overnight cost","line":"NDX","source":"policy","unit":"bps_day","value":0.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:NDX:per_side_bps","kind":"cost","label":"cost per side","line":"NDX","source":"policy","unit":"bps","value":15.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SEMIS:data_age_h","kind":"market","label":"age of the data","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"hours","value":18.7},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SEMIS:dd52","kind":"market","label":"drop from 1-year high","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-13.13},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SEMIS:dist_sma200","kind":"market","label":"vs 200-day average","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":25.84},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SEMIS:dist_sma50","kind":"market","label":"vs 50-day average","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":7.63},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"F:SEMIS:market_open","kind":"market","label":"market open or closed","line":"SEMIS","source":"clock","unit":"state","value":false},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SEMIS:mom10d","kind":"market","label":"10-day change","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":13.26},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SEMIS:mom63d","kind":"market","label":"3-month change","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-5.12},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SEMIS:ret1d_sigma","kind":"market","label":"last day's move vs normal","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"sigma","value":0.08},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SEMIS:trend","kind":"market","label":"trend","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"state","value":"up"},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:SEMIS:ewma5_60","kind":"vol","label":"volatility shock","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.503},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:SEMIS:sigma_ann","kind":"vol","label":"yearly volatility","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":39.65},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:SEMIS:vol_ratio","kind":"vol","label":"volatility vs its 1-year norm","line":"SEMIS","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":1.002},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:SEMIS:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost","label":"overnight cost","line":"SEMIS","source":"policy","unit":"bps_day","value":0.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:SEMIS:per_side_bps","kind":"cost","label":"cost per side","line":"SEMIS","source":"policy","unit":"bps","value":15.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SPX:data_age_h","kind":"market","label":"age of the data","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"hours","value":18.7},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SPX:dd52","kind":"market","label":"drop from 1-year high","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-1.72},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SPX:dist_sma200","kind":"market","label":"vs 200-day average","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":6.5},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SPX:dist_sma50","kind":"market","label":"vs 50-day average","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":0.19},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"F:SPX:market_open","kind":"market","label":"market open or closed","line":"SPX","source":"clock","unit":"state","value":false},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SPX:mom10d","kind":"market","label":"10-day change","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":1.39},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SPX:mom63d","kind":"market","label":"3-month change","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":2.52},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SPX:ret1d_sigma","kind":"market","label":"last day's move vs normal","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"sigma","value":-0.32},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:SPX:trend","kind":"market","label":"trend","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"state","value":"up"},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:SPX:ewma5_60","kind":"vol","label":"volatility shock","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.667},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:SPX:sigma_ann","kind":"vol","label":"yearly volatility","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":10.3},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:SPX:vol_ratio","kind":"vol","label":"volatility vs its 1-year norm","line":"SPX","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.826},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:SPX:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost","label":"overnight cost","line":"SPX","source":"policy","unit":"bps_day","value":0.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:SPX:per_side_bps","kind":"cost","label":"cost per side","line":"SPX","source":"policy","unit":"bps","value":15.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GOLD:data_age_h","kind":"market","label":"age of the data","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"hours","value":18.7},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GOLD:dd52","kind":"market","label":"drop from 1-year high","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-23.2},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GOLD:dist_sma200","kind":"market","label":"vs 200-day average","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-8.52},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GOLD:dist_sma50","kind":"market","label":"vs 50-day average","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-3.84},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"F:GOLD:market_open","kind":"market","label":"market open or closed","line":"GOLD","source":"clock","unit":"state","value":false},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GOLD:mom10d","kind":"market","label":"10-day change","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-2.78},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GOLD:mom63d","kind":"market","label":"3-month change","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":2.76},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GOLD:ret1d_sigma","kind":"market","label":"last day's move vs normal","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"sigma","value":-0.34},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GOLD:trend","kind":"market","label":"trend","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"state","value":"down"},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:GOLD:ewma5_60","kind":"vol","label":"volatility shock","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":1.101},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:GOLD:sigma_ann","kind":"vol","label":"yearly volatility","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":25.29},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:GOLD:vol_ratio","kind":"vol","label":"volatility vs its 1-year norm","line":"GOLD","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.973},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:GOLD:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost","label":"overnight cost","line":"GOLD","source":"policy","unit":"bps_day","value":0.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:GOLD:per_side_bps","kind":"cost","label":"cost per side","line":"GOLD","source":"policy","unit":"bps","value":15.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:BTC:data_age_h","kind":"market","label":"age of the data","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"hours","value":18.7},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:BTC:dd52","kind":"market","label":"drop from 1-year high","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":-32.92},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:BTC:dist_sma200","kind":"market","label":"vs 200-day average","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":17.29},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:BTC:dist_sma50","kind":"market","label":"vs 50-day average","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":8.19},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"F:BTC:market_open","kind":"market","label":"market open or closed","line":"BTC","source":"clock","unit":"state","value":true},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:BTC:mom10d","kind":"market","label":"10-day change","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":3.01},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:BTC:mom63d","kind":"market","label":"3-month change","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":30.69},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:BTC:ret1d_sigma","kind":"market","label":"last day's move vs normal","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"sigma","value":-0.02},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:BTC:trend","kind":"market","label":"trend","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"state","value":"up"},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:BTC:ewma5_60","kind":"vol","label":"volatility shock","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"ratio","value":0.415},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:BTC:sigma_ann","kind":"vol","label":"yearly volatility","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":39.79},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:BTC:vol_ratio","kind":"vol","label":"volatility vs its 1-year norm","line":"BTC","source":"binance","unit":"ratio","value":0.957},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:BTC:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost","label":"overnight cost","line":"BTC","source":"policy","unit":"bps_day","value":0.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:BTC:per_side_bps","kind":"cost","label":"cost per side","line":"BTC","source":"policy","unit":"bps","value":110.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:ETH:data_age_h","kind":"market","label":"age of the data","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"hours","value":18.7},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:ETH:dd52","kind":"market","label":"drop from 1-year high","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":-42.66},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:ETH:dist_sma200","kind":"market","label":"vs 200-day average","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":27.25},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:ETH:dist_sma50","kind":"market","label":"vs 50-day average","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":10.25},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"F:ETH:market_open","kind":"market","label":"market open or closed","line":"ETH","source":"clock","unit":"state","value":true},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:ETH:mom10d","kind":"market","label":"10-day change","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":1.54},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:ETH:mom63d","kind":"market","label":"3-month change","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":40.58},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:ETH:ret1d_sigma","kind":"market","label":"last day's move vs normal","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"sigma","value":0.13},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:ETH:trend","kind":"market","label":"trend","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"state","value":"up"},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:ETH:ewma5_60","kind":"vol","label":"volatility shock","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"ratio","value":0.279},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:ETH:sigma_ann","kind":"vol","label":"yearly volatility","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"pct","value":45.51},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:ETH:vol_ratio","kind":"vol","label":"volatility vs its 1-year norm","line":"ETH","source":"binance","unit":"ratio","value":0.748},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:ETH:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost","label":"overnight cost","line":"ETH","source":"policy","unit":"bps_day","value":0.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:ETH:per_side_bps","kind":"cost","label":"cost per side","line":"ETH","source":"policy","unit":"bps","value":110.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:OIL:data_age_h","kind":"market","label":"age of the data","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"hours","value":18.7},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:OIL:dd52","kind":"market","label":"drop from 1-year high","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-10.01},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:OIL:dist_sma200","kind":"market","label":"vs 200-day average","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":27.36},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:OIL:dist_sma50","kind":"market","label":"vs 50-day average","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":6.44},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"F:OIL:market_open","kind":"market","label":"market open or closed","line":"OIL","source":"clock","unit":"state","value":true},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:OIL:mom10d","kind":"market","label":"10-day change","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-6.73},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:OIL:mom63d","kind":"market","label":"3-month change","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":41.05},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:OIL:ret1d_sigma","kind":"market","label":"last day's move vs normal","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"sigma","value":0.54},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:OIL:trend","kind":"market","label":"trend","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"state","value":"up"},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:OIL:ewma5_60","kind":"vol","label":"volatility shock","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.932},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:OIL:sigma_ann","kind":"vol","label":"yearly volatility","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":46.66},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:OIL:vol_ratio","kind":"vol","label":"volatility vs its 1-year norm","line":"OIL","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.987},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:OIL:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost","label":"overnight cost","line":"OIL","source":"policy","unit":"bps_day","value":0.96},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:OIL:per_side_bps","kind":"cost","label":"cost per side","line":"OIL","source":"policy","unit":"bps","value":18.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:EURUSD:data_age_h","kind":"market","label":"age of the data","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"hours","value":18.7},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:EURUSD:dd52","kind":"market","label":"drop from 1-year high","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-5.39},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:EURUSD:dist_sma200","kind":"market","label":"vs 200-day average","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-2.21},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:EURUSD:dist_sma50","kind":"market","label":"vs 50-day average","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-1.67},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"F:EURUSD:market_open","kind":"market","label":"market open or closed","line":"EURUSD","source":"clock","unit":"state","value":true},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:EURUSD:mom10d","kind":"market","label":"10-day change","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-1.23},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:EURUSD:mom63d","kind":"market","label":"3-month change","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-0.23},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:EURUSD:ret1d_sigma","kind":"market","label":"last day's move vs normal","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"sigma","value":-0.4},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:EURUSD:trend","kind":"market","label":"trend","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"state","value":"down"},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:EURUSD:ewma5_60","kind":"vol","label":"volatility shock","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.744},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:EURUSD:sigma_ann","kind":"vol","label":"yearly volatility","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":4.21},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:EURUSD:vol_ratio","kind":"vol","label":"volatility vs its 1-year norm","line":"EURUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.816},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:EURUSD:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost","label":"overnight cost","line":"EURUSD","source":"policy","unit":"bps_day","value":0.96},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:EURUSD:per_side_bps","kind":"cost","label":"cost per side","line":"EURUSD","source":"policy","unit":"bps","value":13.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GBPUSD:data_age_h","kind":"market","label":"age of the data","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"hours","value":18.7},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GBPUSD:dd52","kind":"market","label":"drop from 1-year high","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-2.78},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GBPUSD:dist_sma200","kind":"market","label":"vs 200-day average","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-0.56},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GBPUSD:dist_sma50","kind":"market","label":"vs 50-day average","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-1.21},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"F:GBPUSD:market_open","kind":"market","label":"market open or closed","line":"GBPUSD","source":"clock","unit":"state","value":true},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GBPUSD:mom10d","kind":"market","label":"10-day change","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":-0.83},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GBPUSD:mom63d","kind":"market","label":"3-month change","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":0.41},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GBPUSD:ret1d_sigma","kind":"market","label":"last day's move vs normal","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"sigma","value":0.72},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"F:GBPUSD:trend","kind":"market","label":"trend","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"state","value":"up"},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:GBPUSD:ewma5_60","kind":"vol","label":"volatility shock","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.782},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:GBPUSD:sigma_ann","kind":"vol","label":"yearly volatility","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"pct","value":4.77},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T00:00:00Z","id":"V:GBPUSD:vol_ratio","kind":"vol","label":"volatility vs its 1-year norm","line":"GBPUSD","source":"tiingo","unit":"ratio","value":0.783},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:GBPUSD:carry_bps_day","kind":"cost","label":"overnight cost","line":"GBPUSD","source":"policy","unit":"bps_day","value":0.96},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","id":"C:GBPUSD:per_side_bps","kind":"cost","label":"cost per side","line":"GBPUSD","source":"policy","unit":"bps","value":13.0},{"as_of":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","id":"M:DFF.chg20@2026-09-29","kind":"macro","label":"Fed funds rate · 20-day change","source":"fred","unit":"bps","value":25.0},{"as_of":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","id":"M:DFF@2026-09-29","kind":"macro","label":"Fed funds rate","source":"fred","unit":"pct","value":3.88},{"as_of":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","id":"M:DGS10.chg20@2026-09-29","kind":"macro","label":"10-year Treasury yield · 20-day change","source":"fred","unit":"bps","value":51.0},{"as_of":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","id":"M:DGS10@2026-09-29","kind":"macro","label":"10-year Treasury yield","source":"fred","unit":"pct","value":5.26},{"as_of":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","id":"M:DGS2.chg20@2026-09-29","kind":"macro","label":"2-year Treasury yield · 20-day change","source":"fred","unit":"bps","value":55.0},{"as_of":"2026-09-30T12:00:00Z","id":"M:DGS2@2026-09-29","kind":"macro","label":"2-year Treasury yield","source":"fred","unit":"pct","value":4.89},{"as_of":"2026-09-26T12:00:00Z","id":"M:DTWEXBGS.chg20@2026-09-25","kind":"macro","label":"broad US dollar index · 20-day change","source":"fred","unit":"pct","value":1.67},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T12:00:00Z","id":"M:T10Y2Y.chg20@2026-09-30","kind":"macro","label":"10y–2y yield curve · 20-day change","source":"fred","unit":"bps","value":1.0},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T12:00:00Z","id":"M:T10Y2Y@2026-09-30","kind":"macro","label":"10y–2y yield curve","source":"fred","unit":"pct","value":0.41},{"as_of":"2026-10-01T12:00:00Z","id":"M:VIXCLS@2026-09-30","kind":"macro","label":"VIX","source":"fred","unit":"pct","withheld":"licensed_series"},{"id":"N:17856b9c","kind":"news","label":"licensed RSS headline","source":"rss"},{"id":"N:2f306ec9","kind":"news","label":"licensed RSS headline","source":"rss"},{"id":"N:3127a27a","kind":"news","label":"licensed RSS headline","source":"rss"},{"id":"N:3a24329f","kind":"news","label":"licensed RSS headline","source":"rss"},{"id":"N:87b70003","kind":"news","label":"licensed RSS headline","source":"rss"},{"id":"N:d0a9a256","kind":"news","label":"licensed RSS headline","source":"rss"},{"id":"P:16708efc","kind":"news","label":"EIA release","source":"eia"},{"id":"P:1e903ac7","kind":"news","label":"U.S. Treasury release","source":"treasury"},{"id":"P:560d07eb","kind":"news","label":"Federal Reserve Board release","source":"fed_board"},{"id":"P:983b54b2","kind":"news","label":"Federal Reserve Board release","source":"fed_board"},{"id":"P:a293965f","kind":"news","label":"U.S. Treasury release","source":"treasury"},{"id":"P:bb27e5fb","kind":"news","label":"BEA release","source":"bea"},{"id":"P:cd584324","kind":"news","label":"Federal Reserve Board release","source":"fed_board"},{"id":"P:ee184eed","kind":"news","label":"BEA release","source":"bea"},{"id":"P:fae633d5","kind":"news","label":"Federal Reserve Board release","source":"fed_board"}],"flags":["paper_book","calendar:release_dates_skipped_no_fred_key","mirror_ratio_missing","swing_trace_all","skeptic_same_model","swing_drop:S8:illiquid","paper_no_reference","swing_eligibility_unverified","swing_reaction_delayed_alpaca","paper_book_filled:0+0"],"input_hash":"f174307cf6e31784d2596b2532e192a5713f548b76085488c3002afdc739dfa0","kill_state":"NORMAL","late_by_min":0,"material_fingerprint":"9020e1c8538cec53","mode":"rehearsal","model":"deepseek-v4.1-flash:cloud","model_digest":"a3189a9a94654904fc8ef87bd7acb56f276816c009cadd13ad38fe2504367837","plan":null,"pm":{"agreement_pct":{"BTC":100.0,"ETH":100.0,"EURUSD":100.0,"GBPUSD":100.0,"GOLD":100.0,"NDX":100.0,"OIL":100.0,"SEMIS":100.0,"SPX":100.0},"levels":{"BTC":1.0,"ETH":1.0,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.26,"NDX":1.03,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":1.03,"SPX":1.03},"medoid":0,"replicates":[{"decisive_fact":{"evidence":{"id":"F:NDX:market_open","kind":"market"},"text":"All four core lines are frozen with band [+1.03,+1.03] and may:none, and no K: card exists, so no deviation is admissible anywhere this cycle."},"deviations":[],"dismissed":[{"claim_id":"bear:c3","why":"Rates repricing is real but no line admits a cut and no card qualifies one; VIX 16.34 is not itself an executable signal."},{"claim_id":"bull_open:c5","why":"Agreed the OIL add fails the cost gate; 0.96 bps/day carry against mom10d -6.7% settles it."},{"claim_id":"bear:c2","why":"SEMIS damage is real but the line is frozen with may:none, so the claim cannot change the level."}],"levels":{"BTC":1.0,"ETH":1.0,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.26,"NDX":1.03,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":1.03,"SPX":1.03},"no_change_reason":"Frozen bands and may:none on NDX, SEMIS, SPX, GOLD; no K: cards; OIL/GBPUSD adds fail the cost gate on 0.96 bps/day carry. Reference everywhere.","replicate":0,"reverted":[],"sided_with":"reference","valid":true,"violations":[]},{"decisive_fact":{"evidence":{"id":"F:NDX:market_open","kind":"market"},"text":"All four core lines are frozen with band [+1.03,+1.03] and may:none, and no K: card exists, so no deviation is admissible or justified this cycle."},"deviations":[],"dismissed":[{"claim_id":"bear:c3","why":"Rates repricing is real but no line admits a cut and no card qualifies one; VIX 16.34 is not itself a tradeable signal."},{"claim_id":"bull_open:c5","why":"Agreed the OIL add fails the cost gate; 0.96 bps/day carry against mom10d -6.7% settles it."},{"claim_id":"bear:c2","why":"SEMIS damage is real but the line is frozen with may:none, so the reference stands regardless."}],"levels":{"BTC":1.0,"ETH":1.0,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.26,"NDX":1.03,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":1.03,"SPX":1.03},"no_change_reason":"Frozen bands and may:none on NDX, SEMIS, SPX, GOLD; no K: cards; OIL/GBPUSD adds fail the cost gate on 0.96 bps/day carry into negative 10-day momentum.","replicate":1,"reverted":[],"sided_with":"reference","valid":true,"violations":[]},{"decisive_fact":{"evidence":{"id":"F:NDX:market_open","kind":"market"},"text":"All four core lines are frozen with band [+1.03,+1.03] and may:none, and no K: card exists, so no deviation is admissible or justified this cycle."},"deviations":[],"dismissed":[{"claim_id":"bear:c3","why":"Rates repricing is real but no line admits a cut and no card qualifies one; VIX 16.34 is not itself a tradeable signal."},{"claim_id":"bull_open:c5","why":"Agreed the OIL add fails the cost gate; 0.96 bps/day carry against mom10d -6.7%."},{"claim_id":"bear:c2","why":"SEMIS damage is real but the line is frozen with may:none, so the point cannot change the book."}],"levels":{"BTC":1.0,"ETH":1.0,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.26,"NDX":1.03,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":1.03,"SPX":1.03},"no_change_reason":"Frozen bands and may:none on NDX, SEMIS, SPX, GOLD; no K: cards; OIL/GBPUSD adds fail the cost gate on carry versus negative 10-day momentum. Reference stands.","replicate":2,"reverted":[],"sided_with":"reference","valid":true,"violations":[]}],"valid_replicates":3},"policy_sha":"4ddc95d750372987eeef75fa7694aee3a14e714c8eb5698e7ab3271819bd654e","prompt_manifest_sha":"dc81e096b158c0041d34905f36c602eede7d98fb1bc6c5f1f121452875fa3f34","reference":{"BTC":{"day_change_pct":-0.05,"level_ref":1.0,"trend":"up","weight_ref_x":0.13},"ETH":{"day_change_pct":0.3,"level_ref":1.0,"trend":"up","weight_ref_x":0.05},"EURUSD":{"day_change_pct":-0.11,"level_ref":0.0,"trend":"down","weight_ref_x":0.0},"GBPUSD":{"day_change_pct":0.22,"level_ref":0.0,"trend":"up","weight_ref_x":0.0},"GOLD":{"day_change_pct":-0.54,"level_ref":0.25,"trend":"down","weight_ref_x":0.03},"NDX":{"day_change_pct":0.25,"level_ref":1.0,"trend":"up","weight_ref_x":0.35},"OIL":{"day_change_pct":1.61,"level_ref":0.0,"trend":"up","weight_ref_x":0.0},"SEMIS":{"day_change_pct":0.21,"level_ref":1.0,"trend":"up","weight_ref_x":0.15},"SPX":{"day_change_pct":-0.21,"level_ref":1.0,"trend":"up","weight_ref_x":0.15}},"risk":{"banded_levels":{"BTC":1.0,"ETH":1.0,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.26,"NDX":1.03,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":1.03,"SPX":1.03},"banded_x":{"BTC":0.13,"ETH":0.05,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.031,"NDX":0.36,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":0.154,"SPX":0.154},"base_x":{"BTC":0.133,"ETH":0.051,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.031,"NDX":0.359,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":0.153,"SPX":0.154},"carry_bp_day":2.0,"checks":[{"kind":"policy","limit":1.9,"name":"gross","passed":true,"rule_id":"R1","value":0.8817},{"kind":"policy","limit":"[-0.50, 1.90]","name":"net","passed":true,"rule_id":"R2","value":0.8817},{"kind":"policy","limit":0.6,"name":"short_gross","passed":true,"rule_id":"R2","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":"NORMAL","name":"kill_switch","passed":true,"rule_id":"R3","value":"NORMAL"},{"kind":"policy","limit":0.25,"name":"catastrophe_stop","passed":true,"rule_id":"R4","value":0.107},{"kind":"policy","limit":"no increase","name":"reentry_cooloff","passed":true,"rule_id":"R4d","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":1.0,"name":"line_caps","passed":true,"rule_id":"R5","value":0.4487},{"kind":"policy","limit":0.5,"name":"crypto_total","passed":true,"rule_id":"R5","value":0.1846},{"kind":"policy","limit":0.5,"name":"fx_total","passed":true,"rule_id":"R5","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":1.6,"name":"equity_beta_cluster","passed":true,"rule_id":"R5","value":0.6663},{"kind":"policy","limit":"leverage_caps by class","name":"leverage","passed":true,"rule_id":"R6","value":2.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":0.95,"name":"margin_use","passed":true,"rule_id":"R7","value":0.4562},{"kind":"policy","limit":0.3,"name":"ex_ante_vol","passed":true,"rule_id":"R8","value":0.2012},{"kind":"policy","limit":"instrument 3.0, book 2.0","name":"vol_breaker","passed":true,"rule_id":"R9","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":3.0,"name":"authority","passed":true,"rule_id":"R10","value":3.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":"level 0.25/0.5 crypto, 2% NAV","name":"deadband","passed":true,"rule_id":"R11","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":"3d/7d crypto","name":"min_hold","passed":true,"rule_id":"R12","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":0.6,"name":"cycle_increase","passed":true,"rule_id":"R13","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":1.0,"name":"turnover_7d","passed":true,"rule_id":"R13","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":3.0,"name":"turnover_30d","passed":true,"rule_id":"R13","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":40.0,"name":"cycle_cost_bps","passed":true,"rule_id":"R14","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":100.0,"name":"cost_30d_bps","passed":true,"rule_id":"R14","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":2.0,"name":"carry_bps_day","passed":true,"rule_id":"R14","value":1.9533},{"kind":"policy","limit":"reference 0.3, council 0.2","name":"net_of_cost_gate","passed":true,"rule_id":"R15","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":"no increase","name":"event_block","passed":true,"rule_id":"R16","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":"no chase","name":"anti_chase","passed":true,"rule_id":"R17","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":0.3,"name":"data_freshness","passed":true,"rule_id":"R18","value":0.0},{"kind":"execution","limit":60.0,"name":"quote_freshness","passed":true,"rule_id":"R18","value":0.0},{"kind":"execution","limit":0.0,"name":"market_open","passed":true,"rule_id":"R19","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":0.0,"name":"blockers","passed":true,"rule_id":"R20","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":8.0,"name":"legs","passed":true,"rule_id":"R21","value":0.0},{"kind":"policy","limit":"required for deviations","name":"material_change","passed":true,"rule_id":"MC","value":"True"}],"compliance":[],"ex_ante_vol_pct":20.12,"final_x":{"BTC":0.133,"ETH":0.051,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.031,"NDX":0.359,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":0.153,"SPX":0.154},"gross_x":0.882,"hold_reasons":["GOLD: R10 deviation beyond the 3 allowed per cycle","BTC: R11","ETH: R11"],"margin_use_pct":45.62,"net_x":0.882,"proposed_x":{"BTC":0.13,"ETH":0.05,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.031,"NDX":0.359,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":0.153,"SPX":0.154},"raw_levels":{"BTC":1.0,"ETH":1.0,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.26,"NDX":1.03,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":1.03,"SPX":1.03},"raw_x":{"BTC":0.13,"ETH":0.05,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.031,"NDX":0.36,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":0.154,"SPX":0.154},"stop_at_risk_pct":10.7},"schema_id":"council-book/cycle/v1","single_agent":{"agreement_pct":{},"levels":{"BTC":1.0,"ETH":1.0,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.26,"NDX":1.03,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":1.03,"SPX":1.03},"medoid":null,"replicates":[{"decisive_fact":{"evidence":{"id":"F:OIL:mom10d","kind":"market"},"text":"All core lines are frozen (market closed) with bands pinned to current levels; OIL and GBPUSD overlays show no momentum confirmation (OIL mom10d -6.7%, GBPUSD mom10d -0.8%)."},"deviations":[],"dismissed":[],"levels":{"BTC":1.0,"ETH":1.0,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.26,"NDX":1.03,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":1.03,"SPX":1.03},"no_change_reason":"Core lines frozen with bands pinned; OIL and GBPUSD adds lack momentum confirmation and would pay carry for a weak signal. No qualifying cards exist.","replicate":0,"reverted":[],"sided_with":"reference","valid":true,"violations":[]},{"decisive_fact":{"evidence":{"id":"F:OIL:mom10d","kind":"market"},"text":"All core lines are frozen (market closed) with bands pinned to current levels; OIL and GBPUSD are the only addable lines but both carry 0.96 bps/day and OIL mom10d is -6.7%."},"deviations":[],"dismissed":[],"levels":{"BTC":1.0,"ETH":1.0,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.26,"NDX":1.03,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":1.03,"SPX":1.03},"no_change_reason":"Core lines frozen with bands pinned; OIL's 10-day momentum is negative (-6.7%) despite uptrend, and GBPUSD sits below both averages with negative 10-day momentum, so no add is justified.","replicate":1,"reverted":[],"sided_with":"reference","valid":true,"violations":[]},{"decisive_fact":{"evidence":{"id":"F:OIL:mom10d","kind":"market"},"text":"All core lines are frozen (market closed) with bands pinned to current levels; OIL and GBPUSD overlays show no momentum confirmation (OIL mom10d -6.7%, GBPUSD mom10d -0.8%)."},"deviations":[],"dismissed":[],"levels":{"BTC":1.0,"ETH":1.0,"EURUSD":0.0,"GBPUSD":0.0,"GOLD":0.26,"NDX":1.03,"OIL":0.0,"SEMIS":1.03,"SPX":1.03},"no_change_reason":"Core lines frozen with bands pinned; overlay adds lack momentum confirmation and would pay carry for no edge. Reference stands everywhere.","replicate":2,"reverted":[],"sided_with":"reference","valid":true,"violations":[]}],"valid_replicates":3},"slot":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","split":{"budget_fallback":false,"core_pct":100.0,"swing_budget_pct":20.0,"swing_pct":0.0},"status":"on_time","think":false,"why_we_met":[]},"cycle_id":"2026-10-01T1840Z","decision_no":2,"flags":[],"paper":true,"schema_id":"council-book/paper-cycle/v1","slot":"2026-10-01T18:40:00Z","swing":{"batches":[{"bear":{"argument":"The bull's own concession on idea:4 is the tell: a hard 8-K with a completed acquisition, a strategic-alternatives review and a new CEO was met with [value removed] ([value removed]) while XLF/SPX/NDX were flat. That is the market reading the same filing and rejecting it — the strongest evidence that 'hard catalyst + no close yet' is not automatically an edge. idea:2 is the only defensible long, and even there the bull overstates it: the approval is dated [value removed] September but disclosed [value removed] October, so the news is a delayed 8-K, not a fresh event; the stock is in a mixed trend, [value removed] over [value removed] days and [value removed] over [value removed] with elevated crowding and [value removed] days to cover — a crowded short base that can squeeze but also means the approval was anticipated. XLV fell [value removed] the prior session, a headwind for a health-care long. idea:5 is a wait, not a trade: a follow-up to a previously announced SPAC combination, live [value removed], vol_ratio [value removed] near the 52-week high is a possible climax, and the PIPE is only 'planned'. Zero new trades is the honest answer; keep the budget at [value removed].","claims":[{"claim_id":"c1","evidence":["X:LRHC:move_since_news_live_sigma","X:LRHC:move_today_live_pct","X:LRHC:sector_move_since_pct","X:LRHC:spx_move_since_pct","P:88ed4279"],"ref":"idea:4","text":"A hard 8-K with a completed acquisition and new CEO was met with [value removed] while XLF/SPX/NDX were flat — the market read the filing and rejected it."},{"claim_id":"c2","evidence":["X:LRHC:dist_52w_high_pct","X:LRHC:trend","X:LRHC:rev_yoy","X:LRHC:rev_accel","X:LRHC:ret_60d"],"ref":"idea:4","text":"LRHC is near its 52-week low (dist_52w_high [figure withheld]), trend down, revenue [figure withheld] yoy and decelerating, ret_60d [figure withheld] — a falling knife, not a continuation."},{"claim_id":"c3","evidence":["P:4411e8ca","X:NVCR:filing_age_d"],"ref":"idea:2","text":"The approval is dated 15 September but the 8-K disclosing it is dated 1 October — a delayed disclosure, not a fresh event, so the market had weeks to price it."},{"claim_id":"c4","evidence":["X:NVCR:trend","X:NVCR:ret_20d","X:NVCR:ret_60d"],"ref":"idea:2","text":"NVCR trend is mixed with ret_20d [figure withheld] and ret_60d [figure withheld]; the long is fighting a downtrend, not riding one."},{"claim_id":"c5","evidence":["X:NVCR:crowding","X:NVCR:short_interest_pct_float","X:NVCR:days_to_cover"],"ref":"idea:2","text":"Crowding is elevated with [figure withheld] of float short and [figure withheld] — a crowded base that can squeeze but also signals the approval was anticipated."},{"claim_id":"c6","evidence":["F:XLV:ret1d_sigma","X:NVCR:sector_etf"],"ref":"idea:2","text":"Health care is a headwind: XLV fell [figure withheld] ([figure withheld]) in the prior session, and NVCR's sector ETF is XLV."},{"claim_id":"c7","evidence":["P:09433681","X:PLMK:news_age_sessions"],"ref":"idea:5","text":"PLMK is a follow-up to a previously announced SPAC combination, not a new hard catalyst; the PIPE is only 'planned' and the business combination has not closed."},{"claim_id":"c8","evidence":["X:PLMK:vol_ratio_last","X:PLMK:dist_52w_high_pct","X:PLMK:move_since_news_live_sigma","X:PLMK:move_since_news_close_sigma"],"ref":"idea:5","text":"vol_ratio [value removed] with the stock [value removed] below its 52-week high is a possible climax; live move [value removed] against the long and no completed close to confirm."}],"rebuttals":[{"claim_id":"c1","evidence":["P:4411e8ca","X:NVCR:filing_age_d"],"text":"The approval text matches the claim exactly and is disclosed 0.24 days ago.","verdict":"concede"},{"claim_id":"c2","evidence":["X:NVCR:move_since_news_close_sigma","X:NVCR:move_since_news_live_sigma","X:NVCR:rel_move_since_pct"],"text":"Reaction is indeed flat: close sigma [value removed] live [value removed], rel_move [value removed]. No chase.","verdict":"concede"},{"claim_id":"c3","evidence":["X:NVCR:days_to_cover","X:NVCR:crowding","X:NVCR:short_interest_pct_float"],"text":"Short interest cuts both ways: [figure withheld] and elevated crowding mean the approval was anticipated, not a surprise.","verdict":"refute"},{"claim_id":"c4","evidence":["P:4411e8ca","F:XLV:ret1d_sigma"],"text":"A Skeptic pass is not an edge; the approval is dated 15 September, disclosed 1 October, and XLV fell [figure withheld].","verdict":"refute"},{"claim_id":"c5","evidence":["P:09433681","X:PLMK:news_age_sessions"],"text":"The 8-K is a follow-up to a previously announced combination; the PIPE is only 'planned' and the deal has not closed.","verdict":"refute"},{"claim_id":"c6","evidence":["X:PLMK:move_since_news_live_sigma","X:PLMK:trend","X:PLMK:move_since_news_close_sigma"],"text":"The adverse move is small and the trend is up, but no completed close confirms the catalyst.","verdict":"concede"},{"claim_id":"c7","evidence":["X:PLMK:vol_ratio_last","X:PLMK:dist_52w_high_pct","X:PLMK:crowding"],"text":"vol_ratio [figure withheld]near the 52-week high is a possible climax, not confirmation; crowding is unknown.","verdict":"refute"},{"claim_id":"c8","evidence":["X:LRHC:move_since_news_live_sigma","X:LRHC:sector_move_since_pct","X:LRHC:spx_move_since_pct"],"text":"Agreed: [value removed] with flat sector and index is a stock-specific rejection of the deal.","verdict":"concede"}]},"bull":{"argument":"Three ideas survive on the same logic: hard, dated, company-specific catalysts disclosed hours ago with no completed session to price them. idea:2 is the cleanest — a national regulator (Japan MHLW) approved Optune Pax for unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer, a named new indication in a market NVCR did not serve. The Skeptic passed it. Reaction is flat: close sigma [value removed] live [value removed], rel_move [value removed] so there is no chase and no adverse stock-specific move. idea:5 is a wait, not a reject: the 8-K confirms convertible debt converting to equity at close plus a planned PIPE ahead of a Nasdaq listing, and the live move is only [value removed] with the stock in an uptrend (ret_20d [value removed], ret_60d [value removed]). idea:4 I concede: [value removed] ([value removed]) on the news day with XLF/SPX/NDX flat is a stock-specific rejection of the deal, and I will not fight it. I would take idea:2 and idea:5 at reduced size, skip idea:4, and keep the swing budget at [value removed] given the flat tape.","claims":[{"claim_id":"c1","evidence":["P:4411e8ca","X:NVCR:filing_age_d","X:NVCR:news_age_sessions"],"ref":"idea:2","text":"Japan MHLW approval of Optune Pax for unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer is a hard, new regulatory catalyst, disclosed 0.24 days ago."},{"claim_id":"c2","evidence":["X:NVCR:move_since_news_close_sigma","X:NVCR:move_since_news_live_sigma","X:NVCR:rel_move_since_pct"],"ref":"idea:2","text":"The market has not moved on it: close sigma [value removed] live [value removed], relative move [value removed] so entry is not chasing a spike."},{"claim_id":"c3","evidence":["X:NVCR:short_interest_pct_float","X:NVCR:days_to_cover","X:NVCR:dist_52w_high_pct"],"ref":"idea:2","text":"Positioning is supportive: [figure withheld] of float short, [figure withheld], and the stock sits [figure withheld] below its 52-week high."},{"claim_id":"c4","evidence":["P:4411e8ca","X:NVCR:news_age_sessions"],"ref":"idea:2","text":"The Skeptic passed the idea with no flags, and the approval text matches the claim exactly."},{"claim_id":"c5","evidence":["P:09433681","X:PLMK:filing_age_d"],"ref":"idea:5","text":"The 8-K confirms convertible debt converting to equity at close plus a planned PIPE ahead of a proposed Nasdaq listing — a multi-session capital-structure catalyst."},{"claim_id":"c6","evidence":["X:PLMK:move_since_news_live_sigma","X:PLMK:move_since_news_close_sigma","X:PLMK:trend","X:PLMK:ret_20d"],"ref":"idea:5","text":"The adverse reaction is small: live [value removed], close sigma [value removed] and the trend is up with ret_20d [value removed] and ret_60d [value removed]."},{"claim_id":"c7","evidence":["X:PLMK:vol_ratio_last","X:PLMK:dist_52w_high_pct"],"ref":"idea:5","text":"Volume ratio [figure withheld]on the news day is real attention, not a dead tape; the stock is only [figure withheld] below its 52-week high."},{"claim_id":"c8","evidence":["X:LRHC:move_since_news_live_sigma","X:LRHC:move_today_live_pct","X:LRHC:sector_move_since_pct","X:LRHC:spx_move_since_pct"],"ref":"idea:4","text":"I concede idea:4: [value removed] ([value removed]) on the news day with XLF, SPX and NDX all flat is a stock-specific rejection, not beta."}],"rebuttals":[]},"refs":["idea:2","idea:4","idea:5"],"replicates":[{"actions":[{"action":"enter","reason":"Hard new national approval, disclosed [value removed] days ago, flat reaction (live [value removed]) so no chase, [value removed] below the 52-week high with [value removed] days…","ref":"idea:2","stop_pct":8.0,"target_pct":20.0,"time_stop_days":10},{"action":"pass","reason":"The same filing was met with [value removed] ([value removed]) while XLF/SPX/NDX were flat: a stock-specific rejection of the deal, in a downtrend with revenue [value removed] yoy.","ref":"idea:4","stop_pct":null,"target_pct":null,"time_stop_days":null},{"action":"pass","reason":"Follow-up to a previously announced SPAC combination, PIPE only planned; vol_ratio [value removed] near the 52-week high is a possible climax and no completed close confirms the…","ref":"idea:5","stop_pct":null,"target_pct":null,"time_stop_days":null}],"budget_pct":20.0,"budget_reason":"One clean catalyst (idea:2) and a flat tape; keep the budget modest and the rest in the core.","budget_vote_valid":true,"replicate":0,"valid":true},{"actions":[{"action":"enter","reason":"Hard new national approval for a named indication, disclosed hours ago, flat reaction so no chase, and [value removed] below the 52-week high leaves room to the target.","ref":"idea:2","stop_pct":8.0,"target_pct":20.0,"time_stop_days":10},{"action":"pass","reason":"The market read the same 8-K and sold it [value removed] with sector and index flat; a stock-specific rejection of the deal, not a continuation setup.","ref":"idea:4","stop_pct":null,"target_pct":null,"time_stop_days":null},{"action":"pass","reason":"Follow-up to a previously announced SPAC deal with the PIPE only planned; vol_ratio [value removed] near the 52-week high looks like a climax and no close confirms it.","ref":"idea:5","stop_pct":null,"target_pct":null,"time_stop_days":null}],"budget_pct":20.0,"budget_reason":"One clean catalyst worth a single slot; flat tape and soft health-care sector argue against more swing risk.","budget_vote_valid":true,"replicate":1,"valid":true},{"actions":[{"action":"enter","reason":"Hard new national approval for a named indication, disclosed hours ago, no completed session to price it, flat reaction so no chase, and [value removed] below the 52-week high…","ref":"idea:2","stop_pct":8.0,"target_pct":20.0,"time_stop_days":10},{"action":"pass","reason":"The market read the same 8-K and rejected it: [value removed] stock-specific with flat sector and index, in a downtrend with shrinking revenue. No edge in fighting that.","ref":"idea:4","stop_pct":null,"target_pct":null,"time_stop_days":null},{"action":"pass","reason":"A follow-up to a previously announced SPAC combination, PIPE only planned, no completed close, live move against the long, and vol_ratio [value removed] near the 52-week high…","ref":"idea:5","stop_pct":null,"target_pct":null,"time_stop_days":null}],"budget_pct":20.0,"budget_reason":"One clean catalyst (NVCR) worth a single slot; soft tape and two rejected ideas argue against raising the budget.","budget_vote_valid":true,"replicate":2,"valid":true}],"tally":[{"action":"enter","ref":"idea:2","replicates":3,"votes_for":3},{"action":"pass","ref":"idea:4","replicates":3,"votes_for":3},{"action":"pass","ref":"idea:5","replicates":3,"votes_for":3}]}],"budget":{"core_pct":80.0,"fallback":false,"median_pct":20.0,"open_pct":0.0,"swing_pct":20.0,"votes":3},"declared_cost_pct_per_leg":1.25,"flags":["skeptic_same_model"],"ideas":[{"batch":0,"chosen":false,"idea":{"catalyst_claim":"Japan MHLW approved Optune Pax for unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer","catalysts":[{"id":"P:4411e8ca","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=NVCR&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"}],"drop_code":"S8:illiquid","fact_buckets":{"range_52w":"mid","reaction":"flat","trend":"mixed","vs_sector":"in_line"},"facts":{"crowding":"elevated","earnings_confirmed":false,"earnings_last_sessions_ago":49.0,"earnings_next":"2026-10-29","filing_age_d":0.24,"fundamentals_age_d":70.0,"gm_chg":3.72,"news_age_sessions":0.0,"om_chg":19.13,"rev_accel":3.31,"rev_yoy":15.6,"sector_etf":"XLV"},"facts_withheld":{"adv_bucket":"unknown_source","atr14_pct":"unknown_source","beta_60d":"unknown_source","corr_60d_max":"unknown_source","dist_52w_high_pct":"unknown_source","dist_52w_low_pct":"unknown_source","move_since_news_close_pct":"unknown_source","move_since_news_close_sigma":"unknown_source","move_since_news_live_pct":"broker_data","move_since_news_live_sigma":"broker_data","move_today_live_pct":"broker_data","move_today_live_sigma":"broker_data","ndx_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","px_ge_10":"unknown_source","rel_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","ret_20d":"unknown_source","ret_5d":"unknown_source","ret_60d":"unknown_source","sector_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","sigma_daily":"unknown_source","spx_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","trend":"unknown_source","vol_ratio_last":"unknown_source","vol_ratio_since":"unknown_source"},"live_setup":true,"ref":"idea:2","setup":"news_continuation","side":"long","stage_reached":"risk","stop_pct":8.0,"target_pct":20.0,"thesis":"A new national regulatory approval for a named indication is a durable catalyst: it opens a market the company did not previously serve and is not a one-day headline. NVCR is not in the movers screen universe, so I cannot see how much of the approval is already in the price; the approval is dated 15 September but the 8-K disclosing it is in this slot.","ticker":"NVCR","time_stop_days":10,"verdict":{"catalyst_supports_claim":true,"claim_supports_side":true,"crowding":"medium","discounted":"no","model_family":"deepseek","news_status":"new","reasons":[{"evidence":["P:4411e8ca"],"text":"8-K EX-99.1 states Japan MHLW approved Optune Pax for unresectable locally advanced pancreatic cancer, matching the claim exactly."},{"evidence":["X:NVCR:news_age_sessions","X:NVCR:filing_age_d"],"text":"Approval is a hard, new regulatory catalyst; news age 0 sessions and filing age 0.24 days, so nothing is stale or restated."},{"evidence":["X:NVCR:move_since_news_close_sigma","X:NVCR:move_since_news_live_sigma","X:NVCR:rel_move_since_pct"],"text":"Reaction is flat-to-slightly-against: close sigma [value removed] live [value removed], rel_move [value removed] so no chase and no stock-specific move against the long."},{"evidence":["X:NVCR:short_interest_pct_float","X:NVCR:days_to_cover","X:NVCR:dist_52w_high_pct","X:NVCR:vol_ratio_last"],"text":"Crowding elevated: [figure withheld] short interest of float, [figure withheld], vol_ratio [figure withheld], but [figure withheld] below the 52-week high and [figure withheld]…"}],"ref":"idea:2","regime":"neutral","same_family":false,"verdict":"pass","what_would_change_my_mind":"A stock-specific move of [value removed] or more in the long's direction on heavy volume before entry, or a restatement showing the approval was already known."},"votes":{"enter":3,"failed":0,"replicates":3}},"leg":null,"real_outcome":{"code":"S8:illiquid","note":"the traced PM saw batches of up to 5 ideas; the real PM would have seen only the survivors","stage":"rules"},"same":false,"traced_leg":{"code":"illiquid","ok":false,"rule":"S8","size_nav_pct":null,"stop_pct":null,"target_pct":null,"time_stop_date":null,"time_stop_days":null},"traced_outcome":{"code":"illiquid","note":"enter votes 3 of 3","stage":"rules"},"why":"stopped by the S-rules (S8:illiquid)"},{"batch":null,"chosen":false,"idea":{"catalyst_claim":"8-K: exclusive patent license agreement with the U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory","catalysts":[{"id":"P:5ddb7a76","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=DPLS&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"}],"drop_code":"no_facts","facts":{},"live_setup":true,"ref":"idea:3","setup":"news_continuation","side":"long","stage_reached":"dropped_by_code","stop_pct":12.0,"target_pct":30.0,"thesis":"An exclusive patent license with the Air Force Research Laboratory is a concrete, named counterparty agreement rather than a memorandum, and the company frames it as the foundation for a space-based power grid program. DPLS is not in the movers screen universe, so the reaction is unknown to me; OTC names often take several sessions to absorb a filing of this type.","ticker":"DPLS","time_stop_days":10},"leg":null,"real_outcome":{"code":"no_facts","note":"","stage":"gate"},"same":true,"traced_leg":null,"traced_outcome":{"code":"no_facts","note":"no fact card: the trace cannot go further","stage":"gate"},"why":"stopped by the code gate (no_facts)"},{"batch":0,"chosen":false,"idea":{"catalyst_claim":"8-K: acquired NVIDIA GPUs; intends to evaluate strategic alternatives for real estate operations","catalysts":[{"id":"P:88ed4279","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=LRHC&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Item 2.01 Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets; Item 3.02 Unregistered Sales of…"}],"drop_code":"skeptic_reject","fact_buckets":{"range_52w":"near_low","reaction":"flat","trend":"down","vs_sector":"in_line"},"facts":{"crowding":"low","earnings_confirmed":false,"earnings_last_sessions_ago":26.0,"earnings_next":"2026-11-20","filing_age_d":0.24,"fundamentals_age_d":41.0,"gm_chg":2.35,"news_age_sessions":0.0,"om_chg":1.08,"rev_accel":-18.36,"rev_yoy":-25.6,"sector_etf":"XLF"},"facts_withheld":{"adv_bucket":"unknown_source","atr14_pct":"unknown_source","beta_60d":"unknown_source","corr_60d_max":"unknown_source","dist_52w_high_pct":"unknown_source","dist_52w_low_pct":"unknown_source","move_since_news_close_pct":"unknown_source","move_since_news_close_sigma":"unknown_source","move_since_news_live_pct":"broker_data","move_since_news_live_sigma":"broker_data","move_today_live_pct":"broker_data","move_today_live_sigma":"broker_data","ndx_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","px_ge_10":"unknown_source","rel_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","ret_20d":"unknown_source","ret_5d":"unknown_source","ret_60d":"unknown_source","sector_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","sigma_daily":"unknown_source","spx_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","trend":"unknown_source","vol_ratio_last":"unknown_source","vol_ratio_since":"unknown_source"},"live_setup":true,"ref":"idea:4","setup":"news_continuation","side":"long","stage_reached":"skeptic","stop_pct":12.0,"target_pct":30.0,"thesis":"The filing combines a completed asset acquisition with a stated intent to review strategic alternatives for the legacy real estate business and a new CEO to lead the transformation. That is a change-of-direction catalyst rather than a routine disclosure. LRHC is not in the movers screen universe, so the reaction is unknown to me.","ticker":"LRHC","time_stop_days":10,"verdict":{"catalyst_supports_claim":true,"claim_supports_side":true,"crowding":"low","discounted":"fully","model_family":"deepseek","news_status":"new","reasons":[{"evidence":["X:LRHC:move_since_news_live_sigma","X:LRHC:move_today_live_pct","X:LRHC:news_age_sessions"],"text":"The stock is down [value removed] ([value removed]) on the day of the news, a stock-specific move clearly against the long side."},{"evidence":["X:LRHC:move_since_news_close_sigma","X:LRHC:news_age_sessions"],"text":"No completed close since the news (news_age_sessions=0), so there is no confirmation of the catalyst; the live reaction is adverse."},{"evidence":["X:LRHC:rev_yoy","X:LRHC:rev_accel","X:LRHC:ret_60d","X:LRHC:dist_52w_high_pct"],"text":"Weak fundamentals and downtrend: revenue [figure withheld] yoy, decelerating, ret_60d [figure withheld], near 52-week low."},{"evidence":["X:LRHC:sector_move_since_pct","X:LRHC:spx_move_since_pct","X:LRHC:ndx_move_since_pct"],"text":"Sector and index flat over the window (XLF, SPX, NDX all [figure withheld]), so the drop is not beta — it is stock-specific."}],"ref":"idea:4","regime":"against","same_family":false,"verdict":"reject","what_would_change_my_mind":"A completed close that stabilizes or reverses the [value removed] drop, with a new fact beyond the move."}},"leg":null,"real_outcome":{"code":"skeptic_reject","note":"","stage":"skeptic"},"same":false,"traced_leg":null,"traced_outcome":{"code":"pm_pass","note":"enter votes 0 of 3","stage":"pm"},"why":"Skeptic reject: The stock is down [value removed] ([value removed]) on the day of the news, a stock-specific move clearly against the long side."},{"batch":0,"chosen":false,"idea":{"catalyst_claim":"8-K: convertible debt to convert to equity at close; new PIPE planned for geothermal project","catalysts":[{"id":"P:09433681","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=PLMK&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"}],"drop_code":"pm_pass","fact_buckets":{"range_52w":"mid","reaction":"flat","trend":"up","vs_sector":"in_line"},"facts":{"crowding":"unknown","earnings_confirmed":false,"earnings_last_sessions_ago":32.0,"earnings_next":"2026-11-13","filing_age_d":0.22,"fundamentals_age_d":48.0,"news_age_sessions":0.0,"sector_etf":"XLU"},"facts_withheld":{"adv_bucket":"unknown_source","atr14_pct":"unknown_source","beta_60d":"unknown_source","corr_60d_max":"unknown_source","dist_52w_high_pct":"unknown_source","dist_52w_low_pct":"unknown_source","move_since_news_close_pct":"unknown_source","move_since_news_close_sigma":"unknown_source","move_since_news_live_pct":"broker_data","move_since_news_live_sigma":"broker_data","move_today_live_pct":"broker_data","move_today_live_sigma":"broker_data","ndx_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","px_ge_10":"unknown_source","rel_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","ret_20d":"unknown_source","ret_5d":"unknown_source","ret_60d":"unknown_source","sector_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","sigma_daily":"unknown_source","spx_move_since_pct":"unknown_source","trend":"unknown_source","vol_ratio_last":"unknown_source","vol_ratio_since":"unknown_source"},"live_setup":true,"ref":"idea:5","setup":"news_continuation","side":"long","stage_reached":"pm","stop_pct":8.0,"target_pct":20.0,"thesis":"The joint release describes a simplified capital structure with existing convertible debt converting to equity at close and an additional planned PIPE, ahead of a proposed Nasdaq listing for the CTR business combination. Deleveraging plus a listing path is a multi-session catalyst. PLMK is not in the movers screen universe, so the reaction is unknown to me.","ticker":"PLMK","time_stop_days":10,"verdict":{"catalyst_supports_claim":true,"claim_supports_side":true,"crowding":"unknown","discounted":"no","model_family":"deepseek","news_status":"follow_up","reasons":[{"evidence":["P:09433681"],"text":"The 8-K/EX-99.1 does say convertible debt converts to equity at close and a new PIPE is planned, matching the claim."},{"evidence":["P:09433681"],"text":"It is a follow-up to a previously announced business combination, not a new hard catalyst like an earnings beat or approval."},{"evidence":["X:PLMK:news_age_sessions","X:PLMK:move_since_news_close_sigma","X:PLMK:move_since_news_live_sigma"],"text":"No completed session since the news (news_age_sessions [value removed] move_since_news_close_sigma [value removed]); the live move is [value removed] against the long."},{"evidence":["X:PLMK:vol_ratio_last","X:PLMK:dist_52w_high_pct","X:PLMK:crowding"],"text":"Volume ratio [figure withheld]on the news day with the stock near its 52-week high ([figure withheld]) is a possible climax; short interest is unknown."}],"ref":"idea:5","regime":"neutral","same_family":false,"verdict":"wait","what_would_change_my_mind":"A completed close in the trade's direction by about [value removed]-[value removed], or a hard new fact (PIPE terms, financing close) beyond the release."},"votes":{"enter":0,"failed":0,"replicates":3}},"leg":null,"real_outcome":{"code":"pm_pass","note":"the traced PM saw batches of up to 5 ideas; the real PM would have seen only the survivors","stage":"pm"},"same":true,"traced_leg":null,"traced_outcome":{"code":"pm_pass","note":"enter votes 0 of 3","stage":"pm"},"why":"the manager did not enter (pm_pass)"}],"inputs":{"carried":[],"context":[{"id":"F:SPY:ret1d_sigma","text":"SPY (S&P 500 ETF) was flat (under 0.5σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:QQQ:ret1d_sigma","text":"QQQ (Nasdaq-100 ETF) was flat (under 0.5σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:IWM:ret1d_sigma","text":"IWM (Russell 2000 ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:VIXY:ret1d_sigma","text":"VIXY (VIX short-term futures ETF, volatility proxy) rose (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:XLP:ret1d_sigma","text":"XLP (consumer staples sector ETF) fell (2–3σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:XLI:ret1d_sigma","text":"XLI (industrials sector ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:XLV:ret1d_sigma","text":"XLV (health care sector ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:XLF:ret1d_sigma","text":"XLF (financials sector ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:XLB:ret1d_sigma","text":"XLB (materials sector ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:XLU:ret1d_sigma","text":"XLU (utilities sector ETF) fell (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:XLK:ret1d_sigma","text":"XLK (technology sector ETF) rose (under 2σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:XLC:ret1d_sigma","text":"XLC (communication services sector ETF) was flat (under 0.5σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:XLY:ret1d_sigma","text":"XLY (consumer discretionary sector ETF) was flat (under 0.5σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"},{"id":"F:XLE:ret1d_sigma","text":"XLE (energy sector ETF) was flat (under 0.5σ) in the 2026-09-30 session"}],"open_trades":[],"reading":[{"age_h":0.0,"item":{"id":"N:2f306ec9","kind":"licensed_news","source":"cnbc_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":0.0,"item":{"id":"N:3127a27a","kind":"licensed_news","source":"marketwatch_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":0.5,"item":{"id":"N:d0a9a256","kind":"licensed_news","source":"marketwatch_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":0.7,"item":{"id":"P:5ddb7a76","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=DPLS&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"},"tickers":["DPLS"]},{"age_h":0.7,"item":{"id":"N:17856b9c","kind":"licensed_news","source":"nasdaq_earnings"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":0.8,"item":{"id":"P:62ccc935","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=MATW&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…"},"tickers":["MATW"]},{"age_h":1.2,"item":{"id":"P:560d07eb","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/jefferson20261001a.htm","title":"Jefferson, The U.S. Economy and Monetary Policy"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":1.2,"item":{"id":"N:3a24329f","kind":"licensed_news","source":"cnbc_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":1.4,"item":{"id":"N:87b70003","kind":"licensed_news","source":"marketwatch_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":1.5,"item":{"id":"N:9674c771","kind":"licensed_news","source":"cnbc_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":1.7,"item":{"id":"N:e1a9f520","kind":"licensed_news","source":"cnbc_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":1.8,"item":{"id":"N:67ef6e91","kind":"licensed_news","source":"cnbc_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":1.8,"item":{"id":"N:ec2981ff","kind":"licensed_news","source":"marketwatch_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":1.8,"item":{"id":"N:09a02316","kind":"licensed_news","source":"cnbc_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":1.9,"item":{"id":"N:3eabcd70","kind":"licensed_news","source":"marketwatch_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":2.4,"item":{"id":"N:ac5392a9","kind":"licensed_news","source":"marketwatch_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":2.6,"item":{"id":"N:a714f8a2","kind":"licensed_news","source":"marketwatch_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":2.7,"item":{"id":"N:12c7d911","kind":"licensed_news","source":"cnbc_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":2.7,"item":{"id":"N:48157cc4","kind":"licensed_news","source":"cnbc_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":2.9,"item":{"id":"P:ab4454fb","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=CCEP&type=6-K","title":"6-K: report of a foreign private issuer"},"tickers":["CCEP"]},{"age_h":3.0,"item":{"id":"N:a50f62b0","kind":"licensed_news","source":"marketwatch_top"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":3.1,"item":{"id":"P:48e441a1","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=SHBI&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…"},"tickers":["SHBI"]},{"age_h":3.1,"item":{"id":"P:a293965f","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/press_secannpr.htm","title":"Treasury announces 4-Week Bill"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":3.1,"item":{"id":"P:1e903ac7","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/press_secannpr.htm","title":"4-Week Bill Treasury Auction Results"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":3.1,"item":{"id":"P:ec170d02","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/press_secannpr.htm","title":"Treasury announces 8-Week Bill"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":3.1,"item":{"id":"P:1f737986","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/press_secannpr.htm","title":"8-Week Bill Treasury Auction Results"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":3.2,"item":{"id":"P:b910198f","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=AMOD&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 2.01 Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets; Item 8.01 Other Events"},"tickers":["AMOD"]},{"age_h":3.4,"item":{"id":"P:80d7834b","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=MOJO&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"},"tickers":["MOJO"]},{"age_h":3.6,"item":{"id":"P:ae715f4e","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/press_secannpr.htm","title":"Treasury announces 26-Week Bill"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":3.6,"item":{"id":"P:2cb646cb","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/press_secannpr.htm","title":"Treasury announces 29-Year 10-Month Bond"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":3.6,"item":{"id":"P:6fe0a91c","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.treasurydirect.gov/instit/annceresult/press/press_secannpr.htm","title":"Treasury announces 6-Week Bill"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":3.7,"item":{"id":"P:a416aec0","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=OSBC&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 8.01 Other Events"},"tickers":["OSBC"]},{"age_h":4.5,"item":{"id":"N:824011f6","kind":"licensed_news","source":"benzinga"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":4.5,"item":{"id":"N:489eaa2b","kind":"licensed_news","source":"benzinga"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":4.5,"item":{"id":"N:e462cbe4","kind":"licensed_news","source":"benzinga"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":4.5,"item":{"id":"N:39f742fd","kind":"licensed_news","source":"benzinga"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":4.5,"item":{"id":"N:4ed93f29","kind":"licensed_news","source":"benzinga"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":4.5,"item":{"id":"N:2b21eb06","kind":"licensed_news","source":"benzinga"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":4.5,"item":{"id":"N:2279a804","kind":"licensed_news","source":"benzinga"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":4.5,"item":{"id":"N:6a4a7594","kind":"licensed_news","source":"benzinga"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":4.9,"item":{"id":"P:9d0aa68a","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=WTS&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…"},"tickers":["WTS"]},{"age_h":5.2,"item":{"id":"P:08b5c9fc","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=KITT&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"},"tickers":["KITT"]},{"age_h":5.4,"item":{"id":"P:09433681","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=PLMK&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"},"tickers":["PLMK"]},{"age_h":5.4,"item":{"id":"P:04837a2f","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=GANX&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 8.01 Other Events"},"tickers":["GANX"]},{"age_h":5.4,"item":{"id":"P:d1434baf","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=BCDA&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 8.01 Other Events; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"},"tickers":["BCDA"]},{"age_h":5.4,"item":{"id":"P:b11e4352","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=APUS&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…"},"tickers":["APUS"]},{"age_h":5.5,"item":{"id":"P:6c2f50f5","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=WAMFF&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…"},"tickers":["WAMFF"]},{"age_h":5.5,"item":{"id":"P:30279d71","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=LDOS&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…"},"tickers":["LDOS"]},{"age_h":5.6,"item":{"id":"P:5da24595","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=SINT&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition; Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"},"tickers":["SINT"]},{"age_h":5.6,"item":{"id":"P:401032ec","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=ROP&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain…"},"tickers":["ROP"]},{"age_h":5.7,"item":{"id":"P:9bd1efec","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=DARE&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"},"tickers":["DARE"]},{"age_h":5.7,"item":{"id":"P:4411e8ca","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=NVCR&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"},"tickers":["NVCR"]},{"age_h":5.7,"item":{"id":"P:dd26267e","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=CHH&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 5.02 Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers"},"tickers":["CHH"]},{"age_h":5.7,"item":{"id":"P:88ed4279","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=LRHC&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Item 2.01 Completion of Acquisition or Disposition of Assets; Item 3.02 Unregistered Sales of…"},"tickers":["LRHC"]},{"age_h":5.7,"item":{"id":"P:17b5e9e3","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=FCCO&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure; Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits"},"tickers":["FCCO"]},{"age_h":5.7,"item":{"id":"P:539d486b","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=USBC&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 1.01 Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement; Item 2.03 Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet…"},"tickers":["USBC"]},{"age_h":6.4,"item":{"id":"P:97fb4a5c","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=FER&type=6-K","title":"6-K: report of a foreign private issuer"},"tickers":["FER"]},{"age_h":6.4,"item":{"id":"P:d61eb542","kind":"public_news","link":"https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=CTVA&type=8-K","title":"8-K: Item 8.01 Other Events"},"tickers":["CTVA"]},{"age_h":18.5,"item":{"id":"N:e234a67e","kind":"licensed_news","source":"cnbc_earnings"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":22.0,"item":{"id":"N:4416f4d4","kind":"licensed_news","source":"nasdaq_earnings"},"tickers":["MU","NVDA","GOOGL"]},{"age_h":22.7,"item":{"id":"N:43174ede","kind":"licensed_news","source":"nasdaq_earnings"},"tickers":["ACN","MKC"]},{"age_h":23.6,"item":{"id":"N:5e0f6ebd","kind":"licensed_news","source":"nasdaq_earnings"},"tickers":["NFLX"]},{"age_h":24.7,"item":{"id":"N:8dcbf665","kind":"licensed_news","source":"nasdaq_earnings"},"tickers":["MU","PRGS"]},{"age_h":25.6,"item":{"id":"N:76da8127","kind":"licensed_news","source":"nasdaq_earnings"},"tickers":["HRL"]},{"age_h":28.2,"item":{"id":"N:297ac584","kind":"licensed_news","source":"nasdaq_earnings"},"tickers":["ARHS","LOVE","WSM"]},{"age_h":29.2,"item":{"id":"N:63a96423","kind":"licensed_news","source":"fda_press"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":45.6,"item":{"id":"N:d4cdb31f","kind":"licensed_news","source":"fda_press"},"tickers":[]},{"age_h":46.7,"item":{"id":"N:b69b744c","kind":"licensed_news","source":"nasdaq_earnings"},"tickers":["JBL","FDS"]}],"screen":[{"id":"M:JBL:movers","move":"down_3s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"BusEq","ticker":"JBL","volume":">4"},{"id":"M:MKC:movers","move":"down_3s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"MKC","volume":"2-4"},{"id":"M:NOC:movers","move":"down_3s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"BusEq","ticker":"NOC","volume":"1-2"},{"id":"M:GIS:movers","move":"down_3s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"GIS","volume":"1-2"},{"id":"M:ITW:movers","move":"down_2s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"Manuf","ticker":"ITW","volume":"2-4"},{"id":"M:ACGL:movers","move":"down_2s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"Money","ticker":"ACGL","volume":"1-2"},{"id":"M:KHC:movers","move":"down_2s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"KHC","volume":"<1"},{"id":"M:HSY:movers","move":"down_2s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"HSY","volume":"1-2"},{"id":"M:HIG:movers","move":"down_2s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"Money","ticker":"HIG","volume":"1-2"},{"id":"M:HII:movers","move":"up_2s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"Manuf","ticker":"HII","volume":"1-2"},{"id":"M:FICO:volume","move":"down","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"Other","ticker":"FICO","volume":">4"},{"id":"M:JBL:volume","move":"down_3s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"BusEq","ticker":"JBL","volume":">4"},{"id":"M:WBD:volume","move":"flat","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":null,"ticker":"WBD","volume":">4"},{"id":"M:GEN:volume","move":"up","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"BusEq","ticker":"GEN","volume":"2-4"},{"id":"M:MDT:volume","move":"down","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"Hlth","ticker":"MDT","volume":"2-4"},{"id":"M:SNPS:volume","move":"up","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":null,"ticker":"SNPS","volume":"2-4"},{"id":"M:EXC:volume","move":"down","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"Utils","ticker":"EXC","volume":"2-4"},{"id":"M:CBOE:volume","move":"up_2s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"Money","ticker":"CBOE","volume":"2-4"},{"id":"M:MGM:volume","move":"down","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"Other","ticker":"MGM","volume":"2-4"},{"id":"M:ITW:volume","move":"down_2s","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"Manuf","ticker":"ITW","volume":"2-4"},{"id":"M:LULU:laggard","move":"flat","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"LULU","volume":"<1"},{"id":"M:MNST:laggard","move":"flat","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"MNST","volume":"1-2"},{"id":"M:CTVA:laggard","move":"flat","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"CTVA","volume":"<1"},{"id":"M:ADM:laggard","move":"flat","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"ADM","volume":"<1"},{"id":"M:STZ:laggard","move":"flat","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"STZ","volume":"<1"},{"id":"M:RL:laggard","move":"flat","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"RL","volume":"<1"},{"id":"M:BG:laggard","move":"down","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"BG","volume":"<1"},{"id":"M:NWSA:laggard","move":"flat","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"NWSA","volume":"<1"},{"id":"M:HRL:laggard","move":"flat","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"HRL","volume":"1-2"},{"id":"M:BF_B:laggard","move":"flat","move_pct":null,"move_sigma":null,"sector":"NoDur","ticker":"BF_B","volume":"<1"}]},"real_budget_flags":[],"scout_passed":["JBL","MKC","NOC","GIS","ITW","ACGL","KHC","HSY","HIG","HII"],"skeptic_model_family":"deepseek","trace_all":true}}